• Welcome to the Cricket Web forums, one of the biggest forums in the world dedicated to cricket.

    You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions and access our other features. By joining our free community you will have access to post topics, respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join the Cricket Web community today!

    If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.

CW50 2nd Edition (aka WWIII) - No 21 - 30

smash84

The Tiger King
wow....Asif is one of those rare players whose standardized average has gone down significantly....

what could have been :(
 

weldone

Hall of Fame Member
I understand what PEWS is saying regarding all-rounders.

I probably rated players according to how valuable they will be in an ATG side. I think McGrath will be more valuable in an ATG side than Miller.

But PEWS rated players according to how valuable they will be in an 'average test side'. Miller will be more valuable than McGrath in an average test side. (I don't necessarily disagree with the 2nd sentence.)

Which makes me think, why should I rate players according to their value in an average test side? I am not disagreeing with PEWS, just trying to decipher the reason. When McGrath played, he was part of a great side. He (probably) modelled his game based on the requirements. Who knows he might have been a completely different player had he been part of an 'average' test side. For other examples (pardon my cevnoing :p ), Viv Richards might not have been such an attacking batsman had he been playing as an Indian batsman of the 70s - because most of the times he would have to bat to save a match rather than win.
 
Last edited:

ankitj

Hall of Fame Member
Different approach, but when I did my own version of normalization, Lohmann finished next only to Barnes (among shortlisted bowlers): http://www.cricketweb.net/forum/cricket-chat/48524-how-valuable-wicket.html

One reason for the difference in the outcomes of PEWS' exercise and mine was that top order wickets will get higher credit in my approach even if the batsman played for a minnow. Looking at Lohmann's break-up of wickets, it's not obvious though. Another thing is that my methodology will make it easy for a good bowler in an era of mediocre contemporaries (I know a very loaded statement that) to stand out. But that's something that PEWS' approach doesn't correct for either.

Not sure why we end up with different results.
 

weldone

Hall of Fame Member
Different approach, but when I did my own version of normalization, Lohmann finished next only to Barnes (among shortlisted bowlers): http://www.cricketweb.net/forum/cricket-chat/48524-how-valuable-wicket.html

One reason for the difference in the outcomes of PEWS' exercise and mine was that top order wickets will get higher credit in my approach even if the batsman played for a minnow. Looking at Lohmann's break-up of wickets, it's not obvious though. Another thing is that my methodology will make it easy for a good bowler in an era of mediocre contemporaries (I know a very loaded statement that) to stand out. But that's something that PEWS' approach doesn't correct for either.

Not sure why we end up with different results.
Though I don't like your methodology (we had a discussion before), can you do it for all bowlers with more than 30 wickets? I shall just try out my new formula (using longevity and number of wickets) with your adjusted averages just to see how the list looks like. I have already applied the formula using PEWS' adjusted averages, want to give it a try using your adjusted averages, if not for anything just for fun.
 

Prince EWS

Global Moderator
Different approach, but when I did my own version of normalization, Lohmann finished next only to Barnes (among shortlisted bowlers): http://www.cricketweb.net/forum/cricket-chat/48524-how-valuable-wicket.html

One reason for the difference in the outcomes of PEWS' exercise and mine was that top order wickets will get higher credit in my approach even if the batsman played for a minnow. Looking at Lohmann's break-up of wickets, it's not obvious though. Another thing is that my methodology will make it easy for a good bowler in an era of mediocre contemporaries (I know a very loaded statement that) to stand out. But that's something that PEWS' approach doesn't correct for either.

Not sure why we end up with different results.
Home/away differences, perhaps.
 

Himannv

International Coach
Had Trueman, O'Reilly, Headley, Lille and Hutton in my 25 iirc. Not sure about that though.
 

ankitj

Hall of Fame Member
Though I don't like your methodology (we had a discussion before), can you do it for all bowlers with more than 30 wickets? I shall just try out my new formula (using longevity and number of wickets) with your adjusted averages just to see how the list looks like. I have already applied the formula using PEWS' adjusted averages, want to give it a try using your adjusted averages, if not for anything just for fun.
I haven't got it automated, so it will be ton of work for me to incorporate so many bowlers. You have to download (copy-paste is what I do, no smart auto downloads) the list of batsmen dismissed by each bowler. If PEWS has some smart way of doing that, it can be tried. Appraoch is straightforward enough for PEWS to implement, and obviously he has no life and no shortage of time.
 

smash84

The Tiger King
I haven't got it automated, so it will be ton of work for me to incorporate so many bowlers. You have to download (copy-paste is what I do, no smart auto downloads) the list of batsmen dismissed by each bowler. If PEWS has some smart way of doing that, it can be tried. Appraoch is straightforward enough for PEWS to implement, and obviously he has no life and no shortage of time.


:laugh:
 

Prince EWS

Global Moderator
Which makes me think, why should I rate players according to their value in an average test side? I am not disagreeing with PEWS, just trying to decipher the reason. When McGrath played, he was part of a great side. He (probably) modelled his game based on the requirements. Who knows he might have been a completely different player had he been part of an 'average' test side. For other examples (pardon my cevnoing :p ), Viv Richards might not have been such an attacking batsman had he been playing as an Indian batsman of the 70s - because most of the times he would have to bat to save a match rather than win.
Rather than "average Test side", I tend to look at it as "a cross section of every Test side in history, averaged out". The average Test side is the midpoint of all these sides so it's the easiest to reconcile that sort of hard logic with, which is why I use it. Miller would be more useful to more Test sides in history than McGrath - is what I'm trying to say. Miller is probably not the best of examples anyway because he's the sort of guy who might actually be more useful to an All Time World XI than McGrath actually; Kapil is definitely a good example though because I think McGrath would be infinitely more useful to an AWTXI squad than he despite voting Kapil higher here.
 

Prince EWS

Global Moderator
Fair enough. Among the present test sides, I believe only India and Sri Lanka will prefer a McGrath over a Miller.
Perhaps. They'd be wrong though IMO. :p At Test level, the difference between McGrath's bowling and Miller's bowling would be barely noticeable, IMO. Which was my whole point to begin with - in all our efforts to split hairs and separate the great bowlers (and batsmen), we exaggerate any differences we find and put too much space between them in our estimations. Miller and McGrath were both great bowlers so in real terms you'd barely notice the difference at Test level (theoretical levels above that being a different story).
 

weldone

Hall of Fame Member
Perhaps. They'd be wrong though IMO. :p At Test level, the difference between McGrath's bowling and Miller's bowling would be barely noticeable, IMO.
Our bowling is so ****ed ATM that even that small difference would mean something for us :)
 

ankitj

Hall of Fame Member
Though I don't like your methodology (we had a discussion before), can you do it for all bowlers with more than 30 wickets? I shall just try out my new formula (using longevity and number of wickets) with your adjusted averages just to see how the list looks like. I have already applied the formula using PEWS' adjusted averages, want to give it a try using your adjusted averages, if not for anything just for fun.
I haven't got it automated, so it will be ton of work for me to incorporate so many bowlers. You have to download (copy-paste is what I do, no smart auto downloads) the list of batsmen dismissed by each bowler. If PEWS has some smart way of doing that, it can be tried. Appraoch is straightforward enough for PEWS to implement, and obviously he has no life and no shortage of time.
In the mean time, do you want to work with the my shortlisted bowlers, based on the status as of 1.5 years ago? I can share that worksheet.

PEWS - don't mind me. I was kidding with the "no life" comment :)
 

weldone

Hall of Fame Member
In the mean time, do you want to work with the my shortlisted bowlers, based on the status as of 1.5 years ago? I can share that worksheet.
Yeah, can obviously come up with the ranking among those 40 bowlers....will be good only for comparison among those 40...and to see how and if the order among those 40 is different from PEWS results...

Before that, I shall adjust your adjusted averages for extras and run-outs...(I think you haven't taken those 2 things into account)
 
Last edited:

Burgey

Request Your Custom Title Now!
hmmm...so will Imran be more useful to more test sides or more useful to an ATXI?
Well it depends on the side. He'd make it as a bowler in all of them atm, easily. He would pretty well make it in everyone's AT team as an all rounder too.

In those WI sides of the 80s, I'd imagine him batting six or so. In the Australian sides of the 90s-00s, he'd probably bat seven with Gilly at six, because imran below Gilly means they could sacrifice a specialist. Alternatively, he would bat at eight in those teams, and probably be the best long term number eight ever
 

Top