The interesting thing is that we already know which teams would go. The controversy would be over whether to start the process rather than which Counties do not become a Franchise.
Maybe its bad for the game at the moment with such obvious differences in size, strength and infrastructure between certain counties. Maybe the fat needs to be trimmed.
If the number of County teams were to be halved then this would be my 9 and the 9 that would lose the 'franchise'.
Kept
Durham
Glamorgan
Hampshire
Lancashire
Middlesex
Nottinghamshire
Surrey
Warwickshire
Yorkshire
I kept these 9 due to a number of factors. Firstly geographical location (3 Southern, 3 Central and 3 Northern), their facilities (Test ground and new stadia), their historical links and success in cricket, and being based at or around large population centers etc. The only really debatable one IMO is Glamorgan, though I do conceed that there are only 2 that should be guaranteed a place (Middlesex- Lords and history and Yorkshire- History, success and player production).
Gone
Worcestershire
Sussex
Somerset
Leicestershire
Kent
Northamptonshire
Gloucestershire
Derbyshire
Essex
Of this lsit I think a case could be made for Sussex (great recent record), Essex (done well over past 25 years and produced a number of quality English cricketers) and Kent (great history and possible wealthy demographics) fighting to take the place off Glamorgan in the 'Kept' group.
Im sure not everyone would agree though