Plenty of cricket left to be played. India host Australia (4 Tests) and then tour BD (2 Tests), 72 points gets them to 73%, which could get them into the final if SA drop some games. And ofc beating Aus 4-0 would put a dent in their Points % too. Oh, and the one leftover game vs England should count for points if it happens, which atm I kinda hope it does because England are awful.
SA have it tough. Tour of England, hosting West Indies and then tour of Australia. Very possible they drop a few games in these 8 Tests.
Australia need a strong Asia leg. If they drop too many points vs India and SL then that Aus/SA tour could become a virtual Semi Final of sorts.
Pakistan the dark horse. They get to host England and New Zealand. Real potential for points if they put up proper pitches and don't bat Sajid at 7.
BD will just want to finish above England, which should be possible if we sneak a victory over SA in this tour. We also host Sri Lanka, which should be points, and then tour West Indies, which could be trouble. End our campaign hosting India, which I doubt we'll take any points from.