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#1 (permalink) |
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International 12th Man
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: As always, my room
Posts: 1,731
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Through most of the last two decades, the result of an Ashes series in Australia has been a foregone conclusion even before the first ball has been bowled. England last won a series in Australia in 1986-87, by a 2-1 margin. Since then, they've lost five in a row, and each emphatically. In 25 Tests during this period, England have lost 18 and won three, one of which was a dead rubber.
However, there's reason to believe things could be different this time around, as much due to England's excellent recent form as Australia's problems with form and fitness. England are ranked higher in the ICC Test rankings, and have a better win-loss ratio in the last two years, winning 12 and losing four, to Australia's 12-6. In the corresponding two-year period before the previous Ashes series in Australia, Australia had won 15 matches and lost only two. Both those losses had come against England in 2005, but apart from that Australia had won almost everything, including beating South Africa in five out of six Tests, home and away, in 2005-06. The batting and bowling stats between these two teams have never been this close recently, and that must surely fill England with hope. (The fact that Australia have named 17 players in the squad for the first Test shows how uncertain they are about their best combination.) In these last couple of years, there is little to choose between the overall numbers of the two teams, but one unusual number is the ratio of centuries to fifties for Australia - that's an aspect they're normally very good at, but during this period they've only managed to convert 24 out of 93 scores of 50-plus into hundreds; England have converted 27 out of 86. The Numbers Game: England's finest opportunity in two decades | Regulars | Cricinfo Magazine | ESPN Cricinfo
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http://erdos.posterous.com/ |
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#2 (permalink) |
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Cricket Web Staff Member
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: The Castle
Posts: 35,138
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If England win this series I will walk down Martin Place at lunch time naked. It cannot happen.
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WWCC - Loyaulte Mi Lie "People make me happy.. not places.. people" "When a man is tired of London, he is tired of life." - Samuel Johnson "Oh my God, there's a castle! A castle!" |
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#7 (permalink) |
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Eternal Optimist
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Shake my tree where's the apple for me?
Posts: 43,601
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People on Martin Place will be wishing they were blind come the end of the series, that's for sure
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Watch out, for as soon as it pleases them they’ll send you out to protect their gold in wars whose weapons, rapidly developed by servile scientists, will become more and more deadly until they can with a flick of the finger tear a million of you to pieces RIP Craigos. A true CW legend. You will be missed. |
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#8 (permalink) | |
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International Vice-Captain
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Earth
Posts: 4,260
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Quote:
any how....England's finest opportunity in two decades .....seems to have been fading unless Broad compensates for that lazy stroke to give Siddle the Hatrick. |
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#10 (permalink) |
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Eyes not spreadsheets
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: England
Posts: 56,343
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When's this happening out of interest?
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marc71178 - President and founding member of AAAS - we don't only appreciate when he does well, but also when he's not quite so good! Anyone want to join the Society? Beware the evils of Kit-Kats - they're immoral apparently. |
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