hendrix
Hall of Fame Member
OK, first of all I haven't talked about Guptill's monumental technical deficiencies because I already have countless times before. Aside from the fact that he's clueless against spin (great! play him at 5), he tries to straight drive any length that's not short, and more importantly, he plays out in front of his body which means he often gets the apparently "unlucky" leading edges to gully.See that's the sort of reasoned argument I'd prefer to see. Not 'this average is my basis, I'm ruling him out altogether forever and I won't reconsider' etc.
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This is the exact thing which makes him an excellent ODI player because you can get away with bullying players down the ground. As soon as there are bowlers taller than 6 foot who actually get the ball to bounce off a length he's screwed. He has no scoring option and cannot find the middle of the bat. If you can't fix this over 31 tests, when will you fix it? Flem seems to think he has made an effort to fix it but I'm not so sure. Honestly, I have more faith in Suresh Raina learning to pull Mitchell Johnson. This is a guy who's whole cricketing success has come from being long and tall and thus able to hit school, list A and first class bowlers straight on good length balls. That's his instinct. That's what he does. It doesn't work at test level. You need to let the ball come to you.
But other than that, how can you pick Guptill in the middle order when he's opening in first class cricket?
And so what if Guptill averaged over 60 at number 5? He's scored a 50 against Australia? Man, I bet I can find some damn mediocre players who've done that. 31 tests is plenty of time to look at him.
With all of that said, I'm not opposed to re-evaluating it if he does score mountains of runs domestically. Maybe he has fixed his technique, who knows? I really don't see how you can be sure about that, and to say that he'll be more successful than McCullum without actually having seen him perform to Test quality bowlers is ludicrous given the records of both players at the top level.