I know some of you will be saying all you need to do in test cricket is win the toss. I can assure you, it's not true. There have been plenty of teams down the years who have lost matches after winning the toss. If Australia get the really big total as they are expected now, they need to win comprehensively to keep the toss brigade from getting on their case. I think a pitch doesn't change all that much the first three days anyway. In fact, it can get better to bat on the second and third day, and it's usually from the fourth day pitch starts to deteriorate appreciably. I think this pitch has some pace and carry and the Aussies with their extra pace and bounce will be very dangerous.