Richard
Cricket Web Staff Member
You can't. You can make assumptions on the past based on what turned-out to be the future when you were in the past.
That's a complicated sentance, I know.
I never said I expected them to be a predictive tool, but that's what they try to be. They make a rating-rise\fall based on a player's performance against the supposed stature of an opponent. Just because someone's bowled well for most of the last, say, 20 matches doesn't mean they're going to bowl well in the next one, which the rating-change is going to be based on.
Again, that's a bit complicated... let's try to make an example...
Say, Mr X scores 130 against an attack including Shaun Pollock, Andre Nel and Makhaya Ntini, who are highly rated due to having bowled well of late. But they don't always bowl well and they don't in this game in question. So Mr X scores more rating points than he really deserves, because the strength of his opposition is supposed rather than real.
And you could create an opposite scenario if the attack involved was, say, Fidel Edwards, Tino Best, Jermaine Lawson and Adam Sanford.
As for the attachment... dunno why it's not opening, someone has apparently viewed it.
That's a complicated sentance, I know.
I never said I expected them to be a predictive tool, but that's what they try to be. They make a rating-rise\fall based on a player's performance against the supposed stature of an opponent. Just because someone's bowled well for most of the last, say, 20 matches doesn't mean they're going to bowl well in the next one, which the rating-change is going to be based on.
Again, that's a bit complicated... let's try to make an example...
Say, Mr X scores 130 against an attack including Shaun Pollock, Andre Nel and Makhaya Ntini, who are highly rated due to having bowled well of late. But they don't always bowl well and they don't in this game in question. So Mr X scores more rating points than he really deserves, because the strength of his opposition is supposed rather than real.
And you could create an opposite scenario if the attack involved was, say, Fidel Edwards, Tino Best, Jermaine Lawson and Adam Sanford.
As for the attachment... dunno why it's not opening, someone has apparently viewed it.