process of elimination:
sri lanka - heavily dependent on vaas and murali, sangka. they will perform well the in world cup but not good enough for a spot in the semis;
west indies- all sorts of internal problems, lara not in gud form no chance for the semis
minnows - perhaps bangladesh could cause a few dissappoints
australia- will be favourites should be in the semis
pakistan- tough team, unpredictable at times, should make it semis, either pak or sa.
sa- solid team either pakistan or rsa to be in the semis
ind- should be favourites, after chappell and ganguly droppped have unleashed some young talent look promising
eng- should be favourites, flintoff excellent form, best pace attack currently, easily should be in the semis
to be the in the semis.