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Progression of the 'best fast bowler' title post war

Mr Miyagi

Banned
I'm off to bed, it is late where I am, but if TJB and Starfighter leave me a reply, I will kindly respond to it later.

Have a good evening folks :)
 

Starfighter

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
Details please of which part doesn't stand up?
Perhaps you should provide the details that prove that your assertion stands up in the real world. You're asking me to prove a negative.

Prove that the 'second innings denial effect' as we might call it exists at a significant level in the real world by showing a direct relationship between (correctly adjusted) WpM and team batting average. Showing the relationship is the only thing that will prove the postulated causal mechanism is effectual in practice.

The fact that Hadlee has a better WpM than other comparable bowlers in stronger batting teams is evidence that the effect is not significant in the real world.
The fact that Hadlee bowled more balls per match is proof that other effects are more important. You seem to have no ability at all to discern that just because something is logically true that doesn't mean it's significant.

You're still trying to support your reasoning, which no-one disagrees with. Now prove its significance.
 
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Starfighter

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
Constantly asking for details when you have been provided with a very considerable number of both logical and statistical reasons as to why the effect you postulate is not significant in the real world is while you consistently refuse to provide very simple evidence that would prove your assertion for once and for all is very frustrating and when couched in your constant condescending one-line replies is also very rude. It's classic pseudo-intellectual 'I only want evidence that suits me' stuff.
 

Mr Miyagi

Banned
Perhaps you should provide the details that prove that your assertion is true and stands up in the real world. You're asking me to prove a negative.

Prove that the 'second innings denial' effect as we might call it exists at a significant level in the real world by showing an inverse relationship between WpM and team batting average. The fact that Hadlee has a better WpM than other comparable bowlers is evidence that the effect is not significant in the real world.
I am not asking you to prove a negative. I am asking you to see a limit.

How can they ever be inverse if Murali jumps with good batting, and McGrath goes down? That's the whole point.

This is multi dimensional. There are two limits for taking wickets if bowling - 20 wickets (and declarations) and running out of runs.

As for significance for wpm- If Hadlee averages 28 overs and 14 overs, and takes a wicket every 8 overs on average, if he bowls on average 8 more second innings overs, even 4 overs more each game on average, his potential to get more wickets has increased.

Now I really must get some sleep. Goodnight.
 
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Mr Miyagi

Banned
Constantly asking for details when you have been provided with a very considerable number of both logical and statistical reasons as to why the effect you postulate is not significant in the real world is while you consistently refuse to provide very simple evidence that would prove your assertion for once and for all is very frustrating and when couched in your constant condescending one-line replies is also very rude. It's classic pseudo-intellectual 'I only want evidence that suits me' stuff.
Details please.
 

Starfighter

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
I am not asking you to prove a negative. I am asking you to see a limit.

How can they ever be inverse if Murali jumps with good batting, and McGrath goes down? That's the whole point.

This is multi dimensional. There are two limits for taking wickets if bowling - 20 wickets (and declarations) and running out of runs.

As for significance for wpm- If Hadlee averages 28 overs and 14 overs, and takes a wicket every 8 overs, if he bowls on average 8 more second innings overs, even 4 overs more, his potential to get more wickets has increased.

Now I really must get some sleep. Goodnight.
You are asking me to prove a negative. You're asking me to show somehow that this effect is not significant. I can only point to its absence.

I'm going to be a man and admit that I confused myself and wrote 'inversely' where I meant directly, due to batting/bowling average relationship which isn't actually relevant. But the logic of my question still stands, and I got it correct when I wasn't using that particular phrasing.

Now, what part of Murali is a spin bowler and capable of bowling more overs than Hadlee without loss of effectiveness is hard to understand? Hadlee can only be compared with other pace bowlers, or it would be an apples to oranges comparison.

Now I will restate correctly: prove that great bowlers in teams with higher batting averages take more wickets per match than those in teams with low batting averages.
 
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Starfighter

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
Is anyone else willing to actually prove that the 'second innings denial' effect is actually significant in terms of the number of wickets a bowler takes a match, in relation to team batting average?
 

Mr Miyagi

Banned
You are asking me to prove a negative. You're asking me to show somehow that this effect is not significant. I can only point to its absence.

I'm going to be a man and admit that I confused myself and wrote 'inversely' where I meant directly, due to batting/bowling average relationship. But the logic of my question still stands.
So does my reply above. I am not going to cross reference the team bowling averages (this will be fun for 5th bowlers) as well as the team batting averages for these players. If you want it done, you do it.

Now, what part of Murali is a spin bowler and capable of bowling more overs than Hadlee without loss of effectiveness is hard to understand? Hadlee can only be compared with other pace bowlers, or it would be an apples to oranges comparison.
The same part that you tell me that Hadlee was limited to averaging only 14 overs in the second. I am dealing and explaining a limit than even Murali suffers, but to a lesser degree with his 55 overs per game. Same ground as above.

Now I will restate correctly: prove that great bowlers in teams with higher batting averages take more wickets per match than those in teams with low batting averages.
And I repeat, How can they ever be inverse if Murali jumps with good batting, and McGrath goes down? That's the whole point.

This is multi dimensional. There are two limits for taking wickets if bowling - 20 wickets (and declarations) and running out of runs.

As for significance for wpm- If Hadlee averages 28 overs and 14 overs, and takes a wicket every 8 overs on average, if he bowls on average 8 more second innings overs, even 4 overs more each game on average, his potential to get more wickets has increased.

Now I really must get some sleep. Goodnight.
 

Mr Miyagi

Banned
Search for them yourself. They're there. I'm not here to help your wilful ignorance.
No, you do it yourself. You provide me proof that wpm does not get effected for great bowlers in great teams, weak teams with good batting, and weak teams.

Because I am dealing with the potential limits. You want to prove the limits not being accurate to what happens, you show me. Or if you concede one limit does, explain to me why the batting limit does not. Cos right now, you want to have your cake and eat it too.

You want competition for wickets to stand, but not having enough runs to bowl with too before losing (or drawing unfavourably).

You want to split limits from both having an effect, you show me. And then explain why Hadlee was too tired to ever bowl more than 14 overs in the second innings on average as against 28 in the first vs the runs running out. I mean Murali is 33 and 22 over split. I take it the innings defeats are a given? What about the 4th innings totals under 150 in losses? And those bully declarations when the opposition already had a big lead? I'm sure we can agree on a benchmark somewhere.
 
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jaideep

U19 12th Man
The top 3 fast bowlers by average rating in each year are:

1946: Bill Voce 588 (Gubby Allen, Jack Cowie)
1947: Jack Cowie 549 (Alec Bedser, Ernie Toshack)
1948: Ray Lindwall 702 (Alec Bedser, Jack Cowie)
1949: Ray Lindwall 829 (Bill Johnston, Alec Bedser)
1950: Ray Lindwall 844 (Bill Johnston, Keith Miller)
1951: Bill Johnston 875 (Ray Lindwall, Alec Bedser)
1952: Bill Johnston 899 (Ray Lindwall, Keith Miller)
1953: Alec Bedser 877 (Ray Lindwall, Keith Miller)
1954: Ray Lindwall 885 (Alec Bedser, Keith Miller)
1955: Ray Lindwall 827 (Keith Miller, Brian Statham)
1956: Ray Lindwall 798 (Frank Tyson, Brian Statham)
1957: Fazal Mahmood 829 (Ray Lindwall, Neil Adcock)
1958: Fazal Mahmood 796 (Neil Adcock, Ray Lindwall)
1959: Fazal Mahmood 859 (Alan Davidson, Neil Adcock)
1960: Alan Davidson 884 (Fazal Mahmood, Neil Adcock)
1961: Alan Davidson 897 (Fazal Mahmood, Neil Adcock)
1962: Alan Davidson 898 (Wes Hall, Fred Trueman)
1963: Fred Trueman 859 (Wes Hall, Brian Statham)
1964: Fred Trueman 833 (Wes Hall, Peter Pollock)
1965: Wes Hall 812 (Graham McKenzie, Peter Pollock)
1966: Peter Pollock 828 (Neil Hawke, Wes Hall)
1967: Graham McKenzie 785 (Peter Pollock, Trevor Goddard)
1968: Peter Pollock 793 (Trevor Goddard, Graham McKenzie)
1969: Peter Pollock 791 (Graham McKenzie, Trevor Goddard)
1970: Peter Pollock 753 (Alan Connolly, John Snow)
1971: John Snow 777 (Gary Sobers, Bruce Taylor)
1972: John Snow 778 (Bruce Taylor, Gary Sobers)
1973: John Snow 723 (Dennis Lillee, Gary Sobers)
1974: Max Walker 705 (Geoff Arnold, Richard Collinge)
1975: Dennis Lillee 781 (Max Walker, Tony Greig)
1976: Dennis Lillee 848 (Andy Roberts, Jeff Thomson)
1977: Dennis Lillee 857 (Andy Roberts, Jeff Thomson)
1978: Bob WIllis 776 (Dennis Lillee, Jeff Thomson)
1979: Ian Botham 857 (Bob Willis, Rodney Hogg)
1980: Ian Botham 901 (Kapil Dev, Joel Garner)
1981: Joel Garner 856 (Colin Croft, Ian Botham)
1982: Michael Holding 857 (Imran Khan, Joel Garner)
1983: Imran Khan 912 (Richard Hadlee, Michael Holding)
1984: Richard Hadlee 881 (Malcolm Marshall, Joel Garner)
1985; Richard Hadlee 883 (Malcolm Marshall, Michael Holding)
1986: Richard Hadlee 904 (Malcolm Marshall, Joel Garner)
1987: Richard Hadlee 902 (Malcolm Marshall, Imran Khan)
1988: Richard Hadlee 890 (Malcolm Marshall, Imran Khan)
1989: Richard Hadlee 896 (Malcolm Marshall, Imran Khan)
1990: Malcolm Marshall 869 (Courtney Walsh, Wasim Akram)
1991: Curtly Ambrose 822 (Wasim Akram, Waqar Younis)
1992: Curtly Ambrose 860 (Waqar Younis, Craig McDermott)
1993: Curtly Ambrose/Waqar Younis 895 (Ian Bishop)
1994: Curtly Ambrose 898 (Waqar Younis, Wasim Akram)
1995: Curtly Ambrose 868 (Waqar Younis, Wasim Akram)
1996: Curtly Ambrose 864 (Wasim Akram, Allan Donald)
1997: Glenn McGrath 864 (Curtly Ambrose, Allan Donald)
1998: Allan Donald 876 (Curtly Ambrose, Glenn McGrath)
1999: Allan Donald 884 (Shaun Pollock, Glenn McGrath)
2000: Shaun Pollock 904 (Glenn McGrath, Allan Donald)
2001: Glenn McGrath 906 (Shaun Pollock, Allan Donald)
2002: Glenn McGrath 902 (Shaun Pollock, Waqar Younis)
2003: Shaun Pollock 867 (Glenn McGrath, Jason Gillespie)
2004: Shaun Pollock 850 (Shoaib Akhtar, Glenn McGrath)
2005: Glenn McGrath 882 (Shaun Pollock, Shoaib Akhtar)
2006: Glenn McGrath 823 (Makhaya Ntini, Andrew Flintoff)
2007: Makhaya Ntini 846 (Stuart Clark, Shaun Pollock)
2008: Dale Steyn 860 (Stuart Clark, Brett Lee)
2009: Dale Steyn 842 (Mitchell Johnson, Makhaya Ntini)
2010: Dale Steyn 873 (Mitchell Johnson, Zaheer Khan)
2011: Dale Steyn 899 (James Anderson, Morne Morkel)
2012: Dale Steyn 887 (James Anderson, Vernon Philander)
2013: Dale Steyn 902 (Vernon Philander, Peter Siddle)
2014: Dale Steyn 902 (Ryan Harris, Vernon Philander)
2015: Dale Steyn 901 (James Anderson, Trent Boult)
2016: Dale Steyn/Stuart Broad 852 (James Anderson)
2017: James Anderson 824 (Josh Hazlewood, Kagiso Rabada)
Can you make a similar list for batsman?
 

trundler

Request Your Custom Title Now!
Shaun Pollock is a little surprising in that list. It's not as clear cut between him and McGrath as I had thought previously. McGrath ended on a high and Pollock tailed off quite terribly though.
Everyone knows Hadlee, Curtly, and Steyn are god-tier but it's still baffling how friggin awesome they were consistently. Probably one of the few quicks who didn't get significantly worse by the end of their careers as opposed to say Dev, Donald, Waqar, Akram, etc.
 

StephenZA

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
Steyn status of making an ATG world team will depend on him making a come back..... if he somehow manages it and is only even a mediocre ATG for 3/4 years, would truly push his status up. Of course as a SA supporter I just want to see Steyn, Rabada and Philander playing together for the next few years.
 

Bolo

State Captain
Steyn has already gone the Pollock route in one sense by trading pace for ccuracy.

In terms of effectiveness, it's not going to happen. Not sure if he'd be happy playing as a shell of himself, but if he was he'd get dropped. Pollock could bat, plus RSA bowling sucked at the tail end of his career. Steyn has very little margin for error.
 

Starfighter

Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
It looks a little weird that, despite the increase in the number of tests (and team to some extent) the post 1980 period seems to have fewer bowlers occupying the top spot rather than more.
 

Borges

International Regular
Steyn status of making an ATG world team will depend on him making a come back.
Steyn would comfortably make an ATG world team even if he does not do anything more. He has an insane career strike rate: 41.5

Some of the other high strike rates: Waquar 43, Marshall, Donald 47, Philander, Trueman 49, Hadlee, Holding 51, McGrath, Lillee 52


I just want to see Steyn, Rabada and Philander playing together for the next few years.
They would form one of the greatest pace attacks in the game. Rabada hasn't played enough games; but his current strike rate is in the Steyn league: 39.2
 

Mr Miyagi

Banned
Steyn would comfortably make an ATG world team even if he does not do anything more. He has an insane career strike rate: 41.5

Some of the other high strike rates: Waquar 43, Marshall, Donald 47, Philander, Trueman 49, Hadlee, Holding 51, McGrath, Lillee 52




They would form one of the greatest pace attacks in the game. Rabada hasn't played enough games; but his current strike rate is in the Steyn league: 39.2
Morkel was improving too pre retirement and Abbott had a great brief career. But Ngidi looks useful. The production line is not finished yet it would appear.
 
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