I'd like to hear Richard explain exactly how he is going to judge dropped catches, marginal LBWs, etc in his FCA. Firstly, the speed, height, whatever of the ball will need to be judged. Then there's the ability of the fielder, could he have caught it normally? For example, there's a big difference in fielding ability between Jamie How and Chris Martin.
Then I could go onto the LBWs....
It is absolutely impossible to get accurate data, and I mean proper, non-theoretical, hard evidence, for First Chance Averages. Unless Jesus becomes a Statsguru enthusiast it simply won't happen.
However I'm sure posters much smarter than me have made this argument and obviously it didn't get through...
Don't get me wrong, I like your posting but FCAs just won't work and I flat out disagree with you there.