Indian Wells Preview
The first PTA Masters Series 1000 gets underway at the picturesque Indian Wells Gardens and nearly all of the top players in the world are present.
World No. 1 Jason Hall looks to claim his second Masters Series title back home in the United States, and perhaps has been given the draw to do it. His form since winning the Australian Open admittedly hasn't been all that flash, but he bounced back to a defeat against Jefferson Drake in Dubai with two good wins on the weekend in Davis Cup action in North Carolina to lead the United States into the quarter finals. His draw is fairly easy with the customary bye all seeds receive into the second round, and there neither Carretero or Midid should cause him any difficulties on this surface. There's potential for a huge third round clash against countryman Jason Bradley - last year Bradley stunned Hall at the same tournament in the third round, so the three-time Grand Slam winner will no doubt be out for revenge. He faces a good run to the quarter finals, as the only other seeds in Varga and Murdoch have poor records against him.
We look likely to get another big semi final matchup between Hall and Radek Špidlá who plays this tournament well. He made the quarter finals last year before being knocked off by Daneu, and looked particularly awesome against Li Wang in the fourth round where he won 6-1, 6-0. His draw is not quite so easy as he faces a tough first match against Denisov or L'Estrange, before a possible fourth round clash with Almen Benaglio or Oneil Stewart. Benaglio is a particularly interesting case as he made the final here last year, and stands to lose huge points if he cannot repeat that. His form is poor, but he showed some good signs on carpet in Geneva over the weekend that he might be able to at least push for the fourth round. Špidlá faces a quarter final matchup against a player from the stack fourth section; the most likely being Danijel Micic who has been superb this year. There's also the prospect of old rival Sven Oxenstierna - a matchup he'd no doubt like considering his dominant record against him. Oxenstierna is a semi finalist here, and will be intent on keeping in touch with the top four.
The big story will be how Radivoj Daneu performs in the place where he won his first of two Masters Series titles. Daneu took out both Indian Wells and Miami last season, but what will worry him is his horrible form this year that sees him hold a record of 8-5. He's been gifted a path to the fourth round with no one before that possessing the weapons to take advantage of his recent form, but standing in his way is Rick Henson who is more than capable of beating him; particularly in Indian Wells. He needs to defend these points badly, though, and arrest his slump but he's not been given the draw to do it with Jefferson Drake potentially in the quarter finals. Drake has been on a huge run and has amassed a 14-3 record this season including two big wins on the clay on the weekend. He's versatile enough to find his feet on the hard courts again very quickly, and if he can get past a tricky Gorshkov/Vollan matchup in the second round he could make a real dash here in the second week.
The big story, however, will be whether Daniel Páez Blanco can play at his best here. Blanco makes his return from an injury that has kept him out since the Australian Open, and that would suggest he's ripe for the picking. Luckily, he has few points to defend here after losing his first match last year to Jamee Hancianu. He should improve on that by beating Adams or Peters in the second round, but this is the perfect opportunity for Heath Davis to pick up an upset in the third round. If he can get through there, he'll be sternly tested by Smeltz or Amato and I'm just not sure he's got the fitness to match them right now.
Indian Wells, along with Miami, has the largest draw at a MS event with a field of 96. This means byes for all seeded players and generally fewer exciting first round clashes. There’s still a couple of interesting first-up matches including Denisov/L'Estrange, Engel/Rivers, Parmentier/Boyd, Schmidt/Harmel and even Delev/Doh. It’s the second round where things start to really heat up.
QF Prediction:
Hall def. Brdar
Špidlá def. Oxenstierna
Cowan def. Daneu
Drake def. Amato
SF Prediction:
Hall def. Špidlá
Cowan def. Drake
Final Prediction: Hall def. Cowan
It isn't easy to pick the first Masters event of the year, but I think Hall has what it takes to atone for last year's loss. He's lost some big points this year and Blanco has narrowed the gap on him significantly, so this is the perfect time for him to jump out. Logic doesn't necessarily suggest Cowan has the form to make it far considering he's not won a title this year and was beaten handily by Bogdan Maurer last week. That being said, he made the fourth round last year, it is a home tournament and he has a lot of match practice on the hard courts and his section is actually relatively easy.