The forecast is fine.
God people in here going full on 'one swallow makes a summer' argument. Or a world champion who understands game theory far better than most said it was wrong so it must be right. The last few pages must be an appreciative nod to PakPassion. Declarations are totally something you can look at with a maths brain and make better calls than professional cricketers. Because the main variables are bad light & umpire interpretation (which as said yesterday they were very lenient with), rain (you can get hourly percentage chances on it occurring - which varied between 10 and 33 percent when I last checked, the higher ones were more for tomorrow), the sort of typical range of scores that are in Pakistan's ability, as well as how many overs they can bat. I don't expect Cook to interpret all these factors, but England have plenty of backroom staff who would make a better call than Cook with Broad and Anderson whining in his ear about having to bowl more than 12 overs in a day.
Don't think there has been much danger of losing for a while.I know Pakistan haven't covered themselves in glory, but I can't imagine there have been many test matches lost when the number 3 chalks up over 300 runs.
The crims used to call it mental disintegration.
The forecast isn't that bad, but it is a bit of a risk. If Pakistan end up needing to bat out 120 overs that is doable I think.
All fair enough, provided Pakistan don't somehow hang on 8 or 9 down for 384The forecast is fine.
I disagreed with Cook's decision to not enforce the follow on, but once he made it he has to commit to batting at least an hour this morning. I'd probably bat an hour, an hour and a half. Get a quick half hour in before lunch so they have to start twice against a new ball.