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Thread: Predict Your Medal Table

  1. #1
    Hall of Fame Member superkingdave's Avatar
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    Apr 2004
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    Predict Your Medal Table

    So a French University pulled some predictions out of its arse and predicted China to get most golds in Beijing. Another study by Pricewaterhousecoopers predicts them to beat US in total number of medals

    China 88
    US 87
    Russia 79
    Germany 43
    Australia 41

    based on population, average income, political factors, host nation status and Olympic medal history.

    What's your 5 or top 10

    From Athens

    My guess


  2. #2
    Hall of Fame Member Goughy's Avatar
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    Mar 2006
    still scratching around in the same old hole
    The most important factor is home support and large investment in local athletes to perform for the home nation.

    Look at the leaps by certain nations when hosting it.

    S Korea hosted in 88= 74% increase in medals
    Spain hosted 92= 550% increase in medals
    Aus hosted in 2000= 41% increase in medals
    Greece hosted in 04= 23% increase in medals.

    If we conservatively say the games in China will see a 40% increase in medals then they will have 88 medals.

    Id suggest USA will have a 10% loss of medals to partially cover this increase, leaving USA on 93.

    The top 4 will stay the same though in terms of total medals, ie USA, Russia, Germany and China.
    If I only just posted the above post, please wait 5 mins before replying as there will be edits

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  3. #3
    The Wheel is Forever silentstriker's Avatar
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    It's going to be awfully close though, hoping the US pulls it through.
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  4. #4
    Hall of Fame Member Jamee999's Avatar
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    the rest
    Or something.

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  5. #5
    Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Samuel_Vimes's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jamee999 View Post
    the rest
    No mention of Romania?
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  6. #6
    Eternal Optimist / Cricket Web Staff Member GIMH's Avatar
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    I think US will top it

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