30-06-2008, 10:46 PM
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#1 (permalink) |
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Hall of Fame Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Inflection Points - 2
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Predict Your Medal Table
So a French University pulled some predictions out of its arse and predicted China to get most golds in Beijing. Another study by Pricewaterhousecoopers predicts them to beat US in total number of medals
China 88 US 87 Russia 79 Germany 43 Australia 41 based on population, average income, political factors, host nation status and Olympic medal history. What's your table...top 5 or top 10 From Athens My guess US China Russia Australia Germany France Japan Italy GB Cuba |
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30-06-2008, 11:54 PM
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#2 (permalink) |
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International Coach
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: All Over
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The most important factor is home support and large investment in local athletes to perform for the home nation.
Look at the leaps by certain nations when hosting it. S Korea hosted in 88= 74% increase in medals Spain hosted 92= 550% increase in medals Aus hosted in 2000= 41% increase in medals Greece hosted in 04= 23% increase in medals. If we conservatively say the games in China will see a 40% increase in medals then they will have 88 medals. Id suggest USA will have a 10% loss of medals to partially cover this increase, leaving USA on 93. The top 4 will stay the same though in terms of total medals, ie USA, Russia, Germany and China.
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If I only just posted the above post, please wait 5 mins before replying as there is bound to be edits West Robham Rabid Wolves Caedere lemma quod eat lemma Happy Birthday! (easier than using Birthday threads) Email and MSN- Goughy at cricketmail dot net |
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06-07-2008, 09:47 AM
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#3 (permalink) | |
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The Wheel is Forever
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 36,550
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It's going to be awfully close though, hoping the US pulls it through.
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06-07-2008, 12:04 PM
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#5 (permalink) | ||
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Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
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Messi scores on the rebound. Founder of ESAS - Edgar Schiferli, the best associate bowler A follower of the schools of Machiavelli, Bentham, Locke, Hobbes, Sutcliffe, Bradman, Lindwall, Miller, Hassett and Benaud Member of JMAS, DMAS, FRAS and RTDAS Quote:
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06-07-2008, 01:29 PM
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#6 (permalink) |
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Eternal Optimist
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Shake my tree where's the apple for me?
Posts: 43,656
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I think US will top it
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Watch out, for as soon as it pleases them they’ll send you out to protect their gold in wars whose weapons, rapidly developed by servile scientists, will become more and more deadly until they can with a flick of the finger tear a million of you to pieces RIP Craigos. A true CW legend. You will be missed. |
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