Predict Your Medal Table

[superkingdave]

So a French University pulled some predictions out of its arse and predicted China to get most golds in Beijing. Another study by Pricewaterhousecoopers predicts them to beat US in total number of medals

China 88
US 87
Russia 79
Germany 43
Australia 41

based on population, average income, political factors, host nation status and Olympic medal history.

What's your table...top 5 or top 10

From Athens

My guess

US
China
Russia
Australia
Germany
France
Japan
Italy
GB
Cuba

 

[Goughy]

The most important factor is home support and large investment in local athletes to perform for the home nation.

Look at the leaps by certain nations when hosting it.

S Korea hosted in 88= 74% increase in medals
Spain hosted 92= 550% increase in medals
Aus hosted in 2000= 41% increase in medals
Greece hosted in 04= 23% increase in medals.

If we conservatively say the games in China will see a 40% increase in medals then they will have 88 medals.

Id suggest USA will have a 10% loss of medals to partially cover this increase, leaving USA on 93.

The top 4 will stay the same though in terms of total medals, ie USA, Russia, Germany and China.

 

[silentstriker]

It's going to be awfully close though, hoping the US pulls it through.

 

[Jamee999]

China
USA







...






the rest

 

[Magrat Garlick]

the rest

No mention of Romania?

 

[GIMH]

I think US will top it