The American Politics thread - Page 134

Spikey · 11-10-2012, 08:35 PM

https://twitter.com/OnionPolitics

silentstriker · 11-10-2012, 08:40 PM

Poll: Romney leads Obama in Florida by 7 points | The Ticket - Yahoo! News

silentstriker · 11-10-2012, 08:47 PM

(That poll is an outlier of course). It'll be interesting if this debate stops the slide in polls.

Fusion · 11-10-2012, 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by silentstriker

Poll: Romney leads Obama in Florida by 7 points | The Ticket - Yahoo! News

Poll: Obama leads Romney in Florida by 1 point

_Ed_ · 12-10-2012, 06:32 AM

https://twitter.com/LaughinJoeBiden

Spikey · 12-10-2012, 07:06 AM

Uppercut · 12-10-2012, 08:30 AM

!

grecian · 12-10-2012, 09:52 AM

Game-changer

Sanz · 12-10-2012, 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fusion

SS/Sanz/Anil – it seems that you are convinced that Obama will lose. I don’t have the same certainty that you all seem to have in the outcome, but I do believe the Obama will prevail in a close contest. Heck I’ll contend that he can lose the next two debates and it won’t matter because I just don’t think debates matter that much in the grand scheme of things. So how about a friendly avatar wager? If Romney wins, you get to control my avatar for a month (each of you will own it for a month). If Obama wins, I get to own your avatar for a month. What say you?

Obama's win will depend on which way Ohio goes. But yeah I will take the bet.

silentstriker · 12-10-2012, 08:06 PM

Now down to ~60% in the forecast....

Gambhiring you say?

Spark · 12-10-2012, 08:49 PM

60% > 50% IIRC

There's a big difference between saying that the race is very close (which it is) and saying Obama has hardly any hope of winning, based on "people being stupid" which is the argument some people are making here. Perspective ffs.

silentstriker · 12-10-2012, 08:56 PM

He was at 85%+ a week ago....

It's not just the debates either...they've been just completely dominating the airways with ads in the last month too. Those eight figure donations will come in handy here.

Spark · 12-10-2012, 09:30 PM

Yes, because he had a 4+ point lead. Now it's effectively tied, with maybe a small national lead towards Romney with Obama having a swing state buffer.

This is the debate, and really only the debate, since immediately before the debate Obama was marching his way to a minor landslide.

silentstriker · 12-10-2012, 10:27 PM

Now the underdog in Florida, Virginia. Clinging to a very diminished lead in Ohio. And still three weeks to go. I'll bet that by this time next week, he'll be <50% chance to win.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...53C#more-35968

Fusion · 12-10-2012, 11:23 PM

You're going to hate the avatar I pick for you SS.

11-10-2012, 08:35 PM	#1996 (permalink)
Spikey Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: All Glory To The Nev Posts: 24,117	https://twitter.com/OnionPolitics __________________ Indians can't bowl - Where has the rumour come from as I myself and many indian friends arwe competent fast bowlers ? With the English bid I said: Let us be brief. If you give back the Falkland Islands, which belong to us, you will get my vote. They then became sad and left

12-10-2012, 09:52 AM	#2003 (permalink)
grecian International Coach Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Hanging on ! Posts: 11,314	Game-changer __________________ Do I contradict myself? Very well then I contradict myself, (I am large, I contain multitudes. Walt Whitman

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11-10-2012, 08:47 PM	#1998 (permalink)
silentstriker The Wheel is Forever Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: USA Posts: 36,550	(That poll is an outlier of course). It'll be interesting if this debate stops the slide in polls.

12-10-2012, 06:32 AM	#2000 (permalink)
_Ed_ Hall of Fame Member Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: Auckland, Aotearoa Posts: 19,111	https://twitter.com/LaughinJoeBiden

12-10-2012, 07:06 AM	#2001 (permalink)
Spikey Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: All Glory To The Nev Posts: 24,117

12-10-2012, 08:06 PM	#2005 (permalink)
silentstriker The Wheel is Forever Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: USA Posts: 36,550	Now down to ~60% in the forecast.... Gambhiring you say?

12-10-2012, 08:56 PM	#2007 (permalink)
silentstriker The Wheel is Forever Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: USA Posts: 36,550	He was at 85%+ a week ago.... It's not just the debates either...they've been just completely dominating the airways with ads in the last month too. Those eight figure donations will come in handy here.

12-10-2012, 09:30 PM	#2008 (permalink)
Spark Global Moderator Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: A Blood Rainbow Posts: 26,770	Yes, because he had a 4+ point lead. Now it's effectively tied, with maybe a small national lead towards Romney with Obama having a swing state buffer. This is the debate, and really only the debate, since immediately before the debate Obama was marching his way to a minor landslide.

12-10-2012, 10:27 PM	#2009 (permalink)
silentstriker The Wheel is Forever Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: USA Posts: 36,550	Now the underdog in Florida, Virginia. Clinging to a very diminished lead in Ohio. And still three weeks to go. I'll bet that by this time next week, he'll be <50% chance to win. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...53C#more-35968

12-10-2012, 11:23 PM	#2010 (permalink)
Fusion Global Moderator Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: United States Posts: 10,784	You're going to hate the avatar I pick for you SS.

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