Jeez, I'm nervous now.
The way the polls have been behaving in South Australia have been so similar to Queensland in 2009 that I was sure Rann would hold on.
Difference being that on election day in Qld the poll showed it had tightened to 50-50. Newspoll in South Australia is showing 52-48 to the Liberals.
I think the dynamic with marginals and a lot of incumbents mean the ALP will still hold on but I've reduced my risk on the betting market by buying back some money on the Libs.
Prediction: Rann by 1.
My spies down in the Adelaide hills confirm that she is ready.
Rann-slide to probably get home again
53-47 to the good guys!
So if it is a Hung Parliment in SA, what happens next? Also, word is that Labor will lose in Tasmania. Gillard's comments the people risk having Work Choices re-introduced if they vote Liberal have fallen on deaf ears.
She's a knob.
The Workplace Relations system is now, almost completely, in the Federal sphere.
Last edited by LongHopCassidy; 20-03-2010 at 06:25 AM.
"The Australian cricket captain is the Prime Minister Australia wishes it had. Steve Waugh is that man, Michael Clarke is not." - Jarrod Kimber
RIP Fardin Qayyumi and Craig Walsh - true icons of CricketWeb.
Looks like the major swing was labor voters to liberal, other parties support not really changing.
Key perhaps being that the % swing was smallest in the marginal seats allowing labor to hold on via preferences from the greens.
Have been watching Sky's coverage all night.
Good to see everyone admitting that if the SA election was held based on proper issues and the performance of the state then Rann would have romped it in. The amount of traction that the Chantellois drama got was farcicle. The fact that people thought Redmond was ready was also a farce.
Also interesting seeing Redmond's speech afterwards. Seemed bitter and stubborn. Maybe she was drunk.
Tasmania is a lost cause but hopefully will see my comrade Rebecca White get up in Lyons.
Last edited by James90; 20-03-2010 at 08:41 AM.
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