The Australian politics thread

[Burgey]

Originally Posted by Matt79

Non Player Character?

National Press Club

[James90]

Originally Posted by Craig

State election time in South Australia and I believe Tasmania as well (?).

I stand by the statement I made in December.

Originally Posted by James90

2010 Predictions

South Australia

Rann holds on in a nail-biter on March 20. His popularity thereafter plummets when it's discovered he actually did have an affair with Michelle Whatsherface

Tasmania

Election on March 20 results in a perfect split of Labor 10, Liberal 10 and Greens 5. In controversial fashion, the Greens prove they're a farce of a political party by supporting a Liberal minority government.

[James90]

Jeez, I'm nervous now.

The way the polls have been behaving in South Australia have been so similar to Queensland in 2009 that I was sure Rann would hold on.

Difference being that on election day in Qld the poll showed it had tightened to 50-50. Newspoll in South Australia is showing 52-48 to the Liberals.

I think the dynamic with marginals and a lot of incumbents mean the ALP will still hold on but I've reduced my risk on the betting market by buying back some money on the Libs.

Prediction: Rann by 1.

[howardj]

Redmond is Ready!

[howardj]

My spies down in the Adelaide hills confirm that she is ready.

[Redbacks]

Rann-slide to probably get home again

[howardj]

Exit Polling

53-47 to the good guys!

[Craig]

So if it is a Hung Parliment in SA, what happens next? Also, word is that Labor will lose in Tasmania. Gillard's comments the people risk having Work Choices re-introduced if they vote Liberal have fallen on deaf ears.

[howardj]

She's a knob.

The Workplace Relations system is now, almost completely, in the Federal sphere.

[LongHopCassidy]

Originally Posted by Craig

So if it is a Hung Parliment in SA, what happens next? Also, word is that Labor will lose in Tasmania. Gillard's comments the people risk having Work Choices re-introduced if they vote Liberal have fallen on deaf ears.

I think Rann's mistress would attest it's a fairly hung parliament whatever happens.

[Burgey]

Originally Posted by howardj

My spies down in the Adelaide hills confirm that she is ready.

They must be the same imbos who told Downer there were WMDs in Iraq. Looks like Rann's home. Lib minority govt inm Tassie, thus proving the locals are truly inbred.

[Redbacks]

Looks like the major swing was labor voters to liberal, other parties support not really changing.

Key perhaps being that the % swing was smallest in the marginal seats allowing labor to hold on via preferences from the greens.

[James90]

Have been watching Sky's coverage all night.

Good to see everyone admitting that if the SA election was held based on proper issues and the performance of the state then Rann would have romped it in. The amount of traction that the Chantellois drama got was farcicle. The fact that people thought Redmond was ready was also a farce.

Also interesting seeing Redmond's speech afterwards. Seemed bitter and stubborn. Maybe she was drunk.

Tasmania is a lost cause but hopefully will see my comrade Rebecca White get up in Lyons.

[James90]

Originally Posted by howardj

She's a knob.

The Workplace Relations system is now, almost completely, in the Federal sphere.

Yeah. Is a very transparent scare campaign.

Seem to remember that there was a court case about the constitutional right of the federal government with regards to corporations that allowed WorkChoices to be administered by the feds.

[Burgey]

Originally Posted by James90

Yeah. Is a very transparent scare campaign.

Seem to remember that there was a court case about the constitutional right of the federal government with regards to corporations that allowed WorkChoices to be administered by the feds.

Was the Workchoices challenge wasn't it?

Bloody HC is more conservative than a Tory cabinet atm. Bring back the Mason days ffs.