He is aiming to shift public opinion which is, in the end, what it is all about.
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I know there's a long time to the next election, and the woman is a genius, but with the LNP leading 55-45 in the polls I can't see Bligh winning in 2012 if the conservatives don't implode.
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RIP Fardin. RIP Craigos. RIP Prince.
Ok, don't get me wrong. I love Anna Bligh and think she has the conviction to lead this state long into the future. Unfortunately, the general public is unlikely to agree with me. Not now not ever.
Anna Bligh was not elected because of the record breaking capital works program. There was no ringing endorcement for the first female Premier elected in her own right. The public weren't convinced. In fact, perhaps the only ones that knew what she was on about were the Labor faithful who followed her on the campaign trail. It is only they who could actually hear what she had to say without the conservative media distorting the message. She won because of a blatant refusal to vote for a National Premier. While people had doubt that Bligh could lead this state in the direction they wanted, they knew that Springborg would send it backwards.
But why is there this perception? After all, the LNP did run a very strong campaign and managed to outspend the ALP significantly. I believe it can be broken down in two different ways:
a) There are the old bastards. Those that grew up with a White Australia policy. Those who seem to recall Sir Joh being some sort of saint. The people who wanted their little bubble protected from other cultures, their opinions protected from student protesters and their Premier to keep on keeping on, without the hassle of lawsuits or charges. If that meant blatant corruption and violence then so be it. They will vote National. Failing that they will vote Liberal.
b) There are the middle-aged. Those of the Bligh/Lucas/Beattie age groupthat grew up with a change of government. Those that were old enough to understand the consequences of historical landmarks disappearing in the night, the Koowarta case and the fact that the police force were protecting the government rather than the public.
They then saw it replaced by a government that legalised homosexuality, removed the Gerrymander and actively encouraged justice and democracy. In the 90s they could see the state catch up to the rest of the country, apart from the tragic capital freeze of 96-98. They will vote Labor.
c) There are the young voters. This is where the election could be won or lost, and where a Liberal government could make a lot of ground. I've said it before...the ALP needs to be more considerate of the youth voice and try to engage them in the decision making. Too many young voters feel disenfranchised by the whole process, and won't vote for a government that seems out of touch. It's one of the reasons Howard got voted out of government.
The youth vote is traditionally a Labor stronghold, and so it should be. Young people would be disgusted if they knew of the Bjelke-Peterson policies. They don't agree with the criminalisation of abortion. They believe in queer rights and indigenous land rights but the ALP aren't doing anything about those issues. They're not making it clear that that's what they stand for. You can tarnish the Nats with discriminatory images very easily, but the Libs are smart enough to distance themself from the issue. The branding of the LNP in the last election would have won a lot of votes from this age group, they just need a leader they can relate to.
It's what we already know. If the LNP want to win an election they've gotta make ground in Brisbane. 37/89 seats are in Brisbane and 52/89 are in the three major cities (Brisbane, Gold and Sunshine Coasts). These are the educated city slickers. They don't want to be lead by a slow-talking Stanthorpe farmer with a gap between his teeth.
It's there in the figures. The LNP have swapped to a SEQ Liberal and the numbers have turned. People aren't well informed of John-Paul Langbroek, they don't know what he stands for or where he's from. He's been in the job for two months yet he's already pulled the LNP out to a 55-45 lead in the polls. Admittedly this is a Courier Mail poll, the same idiots who were determined to get Springborg into office with their puff pieces and phony polls but the signs are ominous.
If Langbroek can make a name for himself within the next few years and the Nationals don't implode the party, I think we'll see a change of government in 2012.
Swan is in massive trouble.
He's clearly mislead Parliament.
R.I.P Craigos, you were a champion bloke. One of the best
R.I.P Fardin 'Bob' Qayyumi
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