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Thread: The Australian politics thread

  1. #1591
    Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Top_Cat's Avatar
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    tbh... University Liberal girls, with their enhanced understanding of batheing and willingness to be impressed by flashy materialism when compared to the lefty ladies, are the only reason I ever understood for displaying an interest in conservative politics...
    With the leftie girls, the occasional well-placed Che or Greer quote made even alcohol redundant in my experience.
    The Colourphonics

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  2. #1592
    World Traveller Craig's Avatar
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    Lol at the DT busting Labor's actors who pretend to be 'real people'. I felt it was a load of BS anyway.
    Beware the lollipop of mediocrity. Lick once and you suck forever...

    RIP Fardin Qayyumi, a true legend of CW

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    Bradman never had to face quicks like Sharma and Irfan Pathan. He wouldn't of lasted a ball against those 2, not to mention a spinner like Sehwag.

  3. #1593
    International Coach howardj's Avatar
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    This whole thing can only end in tears on Saturday.

    Anyway, as far as predictions go, there are 150 seats - thus you need 76 to govern. The current landscape is Coalition 87; Labor 60; Independents 3. Note that one independent has passed away, and thus the number in the next Parliament will likely be pared back to 2.

    Therefore, I'm predicting:

    Labor 80
    Coalition 68
    Independents 2

  4. #1594
    Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Top_Cat's Avatar
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    Geez mate, you reckon Labour is going to take 20 seats? Not feeling very optimistic, are we?


  5. #1595
    International Coach howardj's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Top_Cat View Post
    Geez mate, you reckon Labour is going to take 20 seats? Not feeling very optimistic, are we?
    Mate, I've waded my way through all the stages of grief about this thing - the final one of which is acceptance.

  6. #1596
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    Quote Originally Posted by howardj View Post
    This whole thing can only end in tears on Saturday.

    Anyway, as far as predictions go, there are 150 seats - thus you need 76 to govern. The current landscape is Coalition 87; Labor 60; Independents 3. Note that one independent has passed away, and thus the number in the next Parliament will likely be pared back to 2.

    Therefore, I'm predicting:

    Labor 80
    Coalition 68
    Independents 2
    I made my picks a few weeks ago, but I think they still hold up.

    Labor gains: Kingston (LIB), Bonner (LIB), Wakefield (LIB), Parramatta (LIB), Makin (LIB), Braddock (LIB), Hasluck (LIB), Stirling (LIB), Wentworth (LIB), Bass (LIB), Moreton (LIB), Solomon (CLP), Lindsay (LIB), Eden-Monaro (LIB), Dobell (LIB), Deakin (LIB), Corangamite (LIB), Page (NAT), Blair (LIB), La Trobe (LIB), Herbert (LIB), Kalgoorlie (LIB).

    Liberal gains: Cowan (ALP)

    Labor: 81

    Coalition: 67 (Liberals 55, Nationals 12)

    Independents-2

    I think that the Libs will hold Bennelong on the strength of having the Prime Minister as the sitting member, Wentworth will fall on Greens preferences, and Cowan will change hands on the basis of a strong Liberal candidate and a retiring popular ALP member.

    The only other seat that may be a big call is Kalgoorlie, which is nominally a safe Liberal seat. Over 17% of the registered voters didn't vote in 2004, and the size of the electorate and the variability of the margin between the various booths would suggest to me that there is a modicum of volatility in that electorate. I think that there is more than enough potential for it to be a bit of a boilover.

    If I was a Liberal strategist, I would also have a few sleepless nights over Sturt, McEwen and Paterson, as well. All are nominally safe Liberal, but depending on which way the undecideds go on election day, they could be at risk.
    Andy, not Nathan. NOT Nathan. My left hand is reserved for lighting cigarettes.

  7. #1597
    Global Moderator vic_orthdox's Avatar
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    Supposedly ALP struggling in WA, may be a chance of losing some seats there.

  8. #1598
    World Traveller Craig's Avatar
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    Actually Queensland is meant to be a tough one for the ALP to crack. If I were to vote I tend to go towards Liberal, although I think both campaigns have been dire. Although I think it is disgraceful that you can go to Estonia and take your lap-top with you go to a park in the Old Town of the capital Tallinn and send an SMS to the council and they will send an SMS back with your username and password and you have a free wi-fi area to browse the net. So you could post on CW if you wanted or do anything, and yet in Australia we don't have that.

    How bogan are we?

  9. #1599
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    Quote Originally Posted by vic_orthdox View Post
    Supposedly ALP struggling in WA, may be a chance of losing some seats there.
    Two seats at best. Cowan and Swan are the only two that are a realistic risk.

  10. #1600
    World Traveller Craig's Avatar
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    Heard this gem at work today:

    I was telling some dude at lunch awhen I came to a page in the paper about the election and said how funny would it be if Liberals got in and John Howard lost his seat. To which said workmate pointed to the picture of Howard and said is he in the Liberals?

    And to think he is voting this weekend

  11. #1601
    State Vice-Captain Dark Hunter's Avatar
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    Wow. Dirtiest trick of the campaign?
    ďAnd God came down from the heavens, and he said unto the chicken, "Thou shalt cross the road."And the chicken crossed the road. And the people rejoiced, all across the land.

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  12. #1602
    Global Moderator vic_orthdox's Avatar
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    Can anyone tell me what time booths open on Saturday? So annoying when you've got to play cricket an hour away at 11am.

  13. #1603
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Hunter View Post
    Wow. Dirtiest trick of the campaign?
    ABC is reporting that one of the campaign workers is Jackie Kelly's husband.

  14. #1604
    RTDAS pasag's Avatar
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    Haha, tbh as disgusting as that is, it's rather smart.

    Anyways, have to go vote either tomorrow or Friday at an early voting booth since i didn't send in my postal vote request form. Filled it out a month ago but has been sitting on my desk ever since.
    Rest In Peace Craigos
    2003-2012

  15. #1605
    Global Moderator Matt79's Avatar
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    Sent in my vote on Monday night...
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    We may not like you, your filthy rich coffers or your ratbag scum of supporters but by god do we respect you as a football team
    GOOD OLD COLLINGWOOD - PREMIERS IN 2010

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