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Old 27-10-2012, 08:48 PM   #571 (permalink)
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Apologies if this if I have asked this before, but...

How do I get microsoft excel to give a higher value to a bowling average of 20 than a bowling average of 30?

I want a linear progression, so a bowling average of 40 is worth 80 points, an average of 20 is worth 160 points, and an average of 10 would be worth 320 points, and so on.

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Old 27-10-2012, 10:05 PM   #572 (permalink)
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LOL, you're right.
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Old 27-12-2012, 04:43 AM   #573 (permalink)
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How do I enter that into the formula input?
Average Points
20 160
40 80
10 320

Suppose, averages are in column A and Points are in column B, then in cell B2 write this:
=3200/A2

Copy B2 and paste in B3, B4 etc...
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Old 27-12-2012, 04:45 AM   #574 (permalink)
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Hulululu has 3/4th chance of dying and 1/4th chance of breaking into 2 Hulululus. If broken into 2, each of these 2 Hulululus have the same chances - 3/4th chance of dying and 1/4th chance of breaking into 2 further Hulululus....and so on.

What's the probability that the Hulululu species will never be extinct?
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Old 27-12-2012, 05:38 AM   #575 (permalink)
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I'm massively sleep deprived but: 0. Monkeys, Shakespeare, etc.

Right?
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Old 27-12-2012, 05:50 AM   #576 (permalink)
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Yeah the sum you'd set up would converge to 1, wouldn't it?

**** I hate probability. Prefer something nice and clean like finding two irrationals a and b such that a^b is rational.
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Old 27-12-2012, 06:08 AM   #577 (permalink)
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I'm massively sleep deprived but: 0. Monkeys, Shakespeare, etc.

Right?
Right. Yes, that's one good way to think about it, if you leave the small mathematics out...

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Yeah the sum you'd set up would converge to 1, wouldn't it?
Yes. There's a much easier approach than setting up the sum and breaking into geometric progressions etc though..
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Old 27-12-2012, 06:32 AM   #578 (permalink)
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My immediate reaction was to keep it simple and go with tree diagrams, but the splitting in two part threw me off.

Immediately I thought it was (1/4)^n with n becoming very large, but obviously that doesn't work.

Secondarily I thought in terms of series; the probability being quartered each step as there are two, but I doubt that holds up mathematically. That would have been 1/4 * 1/16 * 1/64 ...

So whatever the formula is [I got P(n)=1/(4^n), but I may be very wrong], as n becomes very large you approach zero, so it is almost certain they will become extinct at some point.

Last edited by Dan; 27-12-2012 at 06:34 AM.
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Old 27-12-2012, 06:40 AM   #579 (permalink)
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Repeating patterns, mate.

OK. Assume 'if we start with a bacteria, the probability of the species finally going extinct is p'. Then,

p = 3/4 + 1/4*p*p
=> (p-2)^2 = 1
=> p = 1 [Rejecting the other solution as that can't be a probability number]

So, the probability of of the Hulululu species never going extinct = 1-p = 0

Last edited by weldone; 27-12-2012 at 07:00 AM.
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Old 27-12-2012, 07:22 AM   #580 (permalink)
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In fact, for any x where 0<x<1, if you replace 3/4 by x and 1/4 by (1-x) in the original problem, then also p will come out as 1 from the equation I think. I'm also sleep-deprived, so not putting an effort to solve that generic one lol.
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Old 27-12-2012, 07:24 AM   #581 (permalink)
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Prefer something nice and clean like finding two irrationals a and b such that a^b is rational.
I'll try that tommorrow maybe (assuming it doesn't need your continuous geometric algebra or stuff sounding similar to that ). Too sleepy now...
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Old 27-12-2012, 07:45 AM   #582 (permalink)
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Alternatively you can look at the expected population at every year.

E(0) = 1
E(1) = 0.5
E(2) = 0.25
E(3) = 0.125

Et voila...
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Old 27-12-2012, 02:15 PM   #583 (permalink)
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Old 27-12-2012, 02:23 PM   #584 (permalink)
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Also love the fact that he wasn't completely correct.
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Old 27-12-2012, 09:07 PM   #585 (permalink)
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I'll try that tommorrow maybe (assuming it doesn't need your continuous geometric algebra or stuff sounding similar to that ). Too sleepy now...
Two line proof. Very, very sneaky proof too. The specific problem, I should say, is proving that there exists two irrationals a, b such that a^b is rational.

Last edited by Spark; 27-12-2012 at 09:09 PM.
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