Weighted AFL tipping

[pasag]

Final odds for remaining rounds:

Geelong 1.25 vs. Essendon 4.60
Melbourne 5.10 vs. Hawthorn 1.23
Brisbane 1.33 vs. West Coast 3.85
Sydney 2.68 vs. St Kilda 1.58
Port Adelaide 1.45 vs. North Melbourne 3.05
Fremantle 2.04 vs. Adelaide 1.93
Western Bulldogs 1.69 vs. Collingwood 2.38

 

[pasag]

I don't see the point in doing a weighted comp and then having everyone tipping when they don't know the odds. wtf is the point in even participating? Isn't the idea of weighted tipping trying to encourage you to take calculated risks to try and get ahead?

Makes little sense to me in any case.

Should just look them up yourself and change it if the odds are drastically different after I post it.

 

[Jono]

Just look the odds up yourself on Thursday/Friday.

 

[BoyBrumby]

Geelong 1.25 vs. Essendon 4.60
Melbourne 5.10 vs. Hawthorn 1.23
Brisbane 1.33 vs. West Coast 3.85
Sydney 2.68 vs. St Kilda 1.58
Port Adelaide 1.45 vs. North Melbourne 3.05
Fremantle 2.04 vs. Adelaide 1.93
Western Bulldogs 1.69 vs. Collingwood 2.38

 

[Matteh]

Just post some up on Monday for an idea and then post the final ones couple of hours before the first game. Doubt most will be bothered to check for themselves so giving people an idea would be better than effectively just doing standard tipping.

 

[morgieb]

Final odds for remaining rounds:

Geelong 1.25 vs. Essendon 4.60
Melbourne 5.10 vs. Hawthorn 1.23
Brisbane 1.33 vs. West Coast 3.85
Sydney 2.68 vs. St Kilda 1.58
Port Adelaide 1.45 vs. North Melbourne 3.05
Fremantle 2.04 vs. Adelaide 1.93
Western Bulldogs 1.69 vs. Collingwood 2.38

Geelong
Hawthorn
Brisbane
Sydney
Port Adelaide
Fremantle
Collingwood

 

[dontcloseyoureyes]

Geelong 1.25 vs. Essendon 4.60
Melbourne 5.10 vs. Hawthorn 1.23
Brisbane 1.33 vs. West Coast 3.85
Sydney 2.68 vs. St Kilda 1.58
Port Adelaide 1.45 vs. North Melbourne 3.05
Fremantle 2.04 vs. Adelaide 1.93
Western Bulldogs 1.69 vs. Collingwood 2.38

 

[BoyBrumby]

Geelong 1.25 vs. Essendon 4.60
Melbourne 5.10 vs. Hawthorn 1.23
Brisbane 1.33 vs. West Coast 3.85
Sydney 2.68 vs. St Kilda 1.58
Port Adelaide 1.45 vs. North Melbourne 3.05
Fremantle 2.04 vs. Adelaide 1.93
Western Bulldogs 1.69 vs. Collingwood 2.38

Interesting. If you're gonna tip all the outsiders it's not the worst tactic, IMHO. With long shots like your blokes versus Hawthorn you only need it to come off once a season to make it into profit.

 

[dontcloseyoureyes]

Yeah I mentioned it early in the thread that I was planning on doing it. Wouldn't mind someone trying the opposite to see who comes out on top actually.

 

[Johnners]

Richmond vs.Carlton
Geelong vs. Essendon
Melbourne vs. Hawthorn
Brisbane vs. West Coast
Sydney vs. St Kilda
Port Adelaide vs. North Melbourne
Fremantle vs. Adelaide
Western Bulldogs vs. Collingwood

Chaning Freo to Adelaide.

You're on smitteh

 

[pasag]

dcye only got two right, yet does pretty well. Only three picked both upsets, two of those are in the top two. No-one got 8/8, four guys got 6/8 yet outside of the top 10 because they didn't pick Collingwood.

Leaderboard

Sam_Vimes	3.9
morgieb	3.68
Mr Casson	 3.34
Sir BloodyIdiot	3.34
Jono	3.22
Vic_Orthdox	3.09
James90	2.88
dontcloseyoureyes	2.42
boybrumby	2.41
howardj	2.29
clapo	2.29
redbacks	2.29
Simon	2.29
irfan	1.85
Voltman	1.84
Matteh	1.84
superkingdave	1.71
ripper868	1.71
biased indian	1.59
Alternative	1.26
Ausage	0.81

 

[pasag]

Round 2

Brisbane Lions vs. Carlton
Collingwood vs. Melbourne
West Coast vs. Port Adelaide
St Kilda vs. North Melbourne
Adelaide vs. Sydney
Richmond vs. Western Bulldogs
Essendon vs. Fremantle
Hawthorn vs. Geelong

Odds to be posted on Thurs night. Can check for ballpark odds from Betfair, Sportsbet, bet365 if you want to tip before that.

 

[Johnners]

Get the feeling Smith's gonna comfortably beat me in terms of Underdogs vs Favourites. Get 1 decent underdog win of a weekend and he's basically covered my score.

 

[Simon]

Brisbane Lions vs. Carlton
Collingwood vs. Melbourne
West Coast vs. Port Adelaide
St Kilda vs. North Melbourne
Adelaide vs. Sydney
Richmond vs. Western Bulldogs
Essendon vs. Fremantle
Hawthorn vs. Geelong

 

[Mr Casson]

Can't be bothered waiting for this week's odds to come up (slow day), so I'm going to do my own, set with no house edge, as a basis to work off when they come out later.

Brisbane $1.35 v Carlton $3.86
Collingwood $1.04 v Melbourne $26
West Coast $1.80 v Port $2.25
Saints $1.33 v $4 NM
Adelaide $1.25 v $5 Sydney
Essendon $1.50 v $3 Freo
Richmond $15.29 v $1.07 WB
Hawks $3.86 v $1.35 Geelong

I think wherever I agree with the market I'll tend back the outsider, not that there's a distinct advantage in it.

 

[pasag]

Casson to takeover IMO

 

[Mr Casson]

Odds are out, so I'm putting in my tips early.

Brisbane v Carlton
Collingwood v Melbourne
West Coast v Port
Saints v NM
Adelaide v Sydney
Essendon v Freo
Richmond v WB
Hawks v Geelong

Be kind to me, Freo.

 

[vic_orthdox]

Carltank
Filth
Stereagles
'Aints
Schwans
Bummers
Bullies
Squawkers

 

[morgieb]

Can't be bothered waiting for this week's odds to come up (slow day), so I'm going to do my own, set with no house edge, as a basis to work off when they come out later.

Brisbane $1.35 v Carlton $3.86
Collingwood $1.04 v Melbourne $26
West Coast $1.80 v Port $2.25
Saints $1.33 v $4 NM
Adelaide $1.25 v $5 Sydney
Essendon $1.50 v $3 Freo
Richmond $15.29 v $1.07 WB
Hawks $3.86 v $1.35 Geelong

I think wherever I agree with the market I'll tend back the outsider, not that there's a distinct advantage in it.

Carlton
Melbourne
Port
St KFC
Sydney
Essendon
Richmond
Hawthorn

Lot of game calls, but they may well pay off.

 

[howardj]

Brisbane v Carlton
Collingwood v Melbourne
West Coast v Port
Saints v NM
Adelaide v Sydney
Essendon v Freo
Richmond v WB
Hawks v Geelong