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Thread: Consistency of predictions

  1. #1
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    Consistency of predictions

    More boredom so playing around with numbers for me!

    Looking at how frequently people score in the medals. Used a cut off of 36 out of 108 ODIs and we see the following:

    Code:
    Name		Entered	Consistency
    godofcricket	66	34.85%
    oz_fan		68	32.35%
    vic_orthdox	46	30.43%
    marc71178	104	29.81%
    alternative	85	29.41%
    James90		42	28.57%
    shankar		43	27.91%
    Perm		40	27.50%
    Samuel_Vimes	97	26.80%
    pasag		101	22.77%
    Natman20	42	21.43%
    BoyBrumby	108	21.30%
    grecian		38	21.05%
    tadeusz		101	17.82%
    The Baconator	42	16.67%
    pietersenrocks	36	16.67%
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	69	15.94%
    Mister Wright	60	13.33%
    However, it is worth noting that Poker Boy would be top of this list taking his current medal tally over 36 games (rather than the 31 he's predicted for) - he'd be top with a score 4% more than godofcricket!
    Last edited by marc71178; 10-02-2007 at 05:02 AM.
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  2. #2
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    Mind you, that is all made to look insignificant by some of the Test figures (6 out of 16 cut off):

    Code:
    Name		Entered	Consistency
    godofcricket	10	70.00%
    Neil Pickup	9	55.56%
    marc71178	15	40.00%
    grecian		12	33.33%
    silentstriker	11	27.27%
    Perm		8	25.00%
    alternative	9	22.22%
    The Baconator	9	22.22%
    Samuel_Vimes	14	21.43%
    oz_fan		16	18.75%
    BoyBrumby	16	12.50%
    pasag		16	12.50%
    Dravid		8	12.50%
    vic_orthdox	8	12.50%
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	13	7.69%
    Mister Wright	13	7.69%
    Poker Boy	14	7.14%
    tadeusz		16	6.25%

  3. #3
    RTDAS pasag's Avatar
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    Wouldn't mind seeing a list of highest to lowest entries (if you're still bored )
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  4. #4
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    As in predictions made?:

    ODIs (108 rounds so far):

    Code:
    BoyBrumby	108
    marc71178	104
    pasag		101
    tadeusz		101
    Samuel_Vimes	 97
    alternative	 85
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	 69
    oz_fan		 68
    godofcricket	 66
    Mister Wright	 60
    vic_orthdox	 46
    shankar		 43
    The Baconator	 42
    James90		 42
    Natman20	 42
    Perm		 40
    grecian		 38
    pietersenrocks	 36
    Dravid		 34
    Steulen		 34
    Poker Boy	 31
    Jungle Jumbo	 28
    silentstriker	 27
    Pup Clarke	 23
    superkingdave	 21
    TT Boy		 15
    Dasa		 15
    Matteh		 14
    luffy		  9
    Raghav		  9
    NZ Tailender	  7
    andyc		  6
    33/3from3.3	  5
    TheEpic		  4
    Miraz		  4
    Neil Pickup	  3
    StumpMic	  3
    mkays		  3
    Run like Inzy	  2
    steds		  2
    thedarkmullet	  2
    Tim		  2
    Turbinator	  2
    dinu23		  1
    GeraintIsMyHero	  1
    dontcloseyoureyes 1
    open365		  1
    Barney Rubble	  1
    nightprowler10	  1
    adharcric	  1
    2cool2resist	  1

    Tests (16 rounds):

    Code:
    BoyBrumby	16
    tadeusz		16
    oz_fan		16
    pasag		16
    marc71178	15
    Samuel_Vimes	14
    Poker Boy	14
    Mister Wright	13
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	13
    grecian		12
    silentstriker	11
    godofcricket	10
    alternative	 9
    Neil Pickup	 9
    The Baconator	 9
    vic_orthdox	 8
    Dravid		 8
    Perm		 8
    shankar		 5
    Raghav		 5
    James90		 5
    pietersenrocks	 4
    Pup Clarke	 2
    Steulen		 1
    luffy		 1
    Matteh		 1
    archie mac	 1
    Legga		 1
    Turbinator	 1


  5. #5
    RTDAS pasag's Avatar
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    Lol, fair effort.

  6. #6
    Cricket Web Content Updater alternative's Avatar
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    Haha nice. I missed around 20 predictions.
    Dire effort
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  7. #7
    Cricket Web: All-Time Legend Mister Wright's Avatar
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  8. #8
    State 12th Man godofcricket's Avatar
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  9. #9
    Englishman BoyBrumby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by marc71178 View Post
    As in predictions made?
    How have you missed 4 ODIs when you're the one who starts the threads?!

    Makes me look even sadder, tbh.
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  10. #10
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    I don't predict immediately - tend to do it towards the end when I enter all predictions so far to my tracking and scoring gizmo.

    Occasionally I mess up and forget to do it.

  11. #11
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    38 out of 112 ODIs:

    Code:
    Name		Entered	Consistency
    godofcricket	70	37.14&#37;
    oz_fan		72	31.94%
    alternative	89	30.34%
    vic_orthdox	47	29.79%
    marc71178	108	29.63%
    shankar		43	27.91%
    Perm		40	27.50%
    Samuel_Vimes	100	27.00%
    James90		46	26.09%
    BoyBrumby	112	24.11%
    pasag		105	21.90%
    grecian		38	21.05%
    Natman20	43	20.93%
    tadeusz		105	18.10%
    The Baconator	45	17.78%
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	73	15.07%
    Mister Wright	63	12.70%

  12. #12
    The Wheel is Forever silentstriker's Avatar
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    I thought I was doing well....but Godofcricket is just owning this tournament. Hopefully, his luck runs out soon, as mine did.

  13. #13
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    40 out of 118:

    Code:
    Name		Entered	Consistency
    godofcricket	75	37.33%
    marc71178	114	29.82%
    oz_fan		78	29.49%
    alternative	95	29.47%
    shankar		45	28.89%
    Perm		40	27.50%
    Samuel_Vimes	106	27.36%
    vic_orthdox	53	26.42%
    James90		52	25.00%
    BoyBrumby	118	23.73%
    pasag		111	20.72%
    The Baconator	50	20.00%
    tadeusz		111	18.92%
    Natman20	49	18.37%
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	79	13.92%
    Mister Wright	69	13.04%

  14. #14
    International Debutant Natman20's Avatar
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    I'm on the decline ahhhhhrggg. Too many unpredictable Australian games around IMO with unexpected injuries and people resting.

  15. #15
    Eyes not spreadsheets marc71178's Avatar
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    42 out of 127, Poker Boy finally qualifies for this table:

    Code:
    Name		Entered	Consistency
    Poker Boy	46	39.13&#37;
    godofcricket	82	34.15%
    marc71178	123	30.08%
    shankar		45	28.89%
    alternative	104	28.85%
    oz_fan		87	28.74%
    Samuel_Vimes	115	26.96%
    vic_orthdox	55	25.45%
    BoyBrumby	127	24.41%
    The Baconator	59	22.03%
    pasag		120	21.67%
    James90		61	21.31%
    tadeusz		120	18.33%
    _TiGeR-ToWn_	87	16.09%
    Natman20	58	15.52%
    Mister Wright	69	13.04%

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