How many more runs to come?

[Victor Ian]

Spark Method

	0	25	50	75	100	125	150
sangakkara	57	68	74	104	108	109	145
ponting	51	68	68	76	73	69	60
tendulkar	53	68	74	81	112	107	114
lara	52	63	69	74	86	90	89

Harsh Method

	0	25	50	75	100	125	150
sangakkara	53	60	61	74	68	60	63
ponting	46	54	49	53	47	45	44
tendulkar	48	56	53	49	47	45	35
lara	51	60	65	65	75	72	64

I hope you guys don't mind me attributing these methods to you. It's just the names sounds so good

here's the file I used if anyone wants to play themselves or find my mistakes and call me out or show me a better way to use excel for it click here.

 

[harsh.ag]

The one with my name on it represents reality better I think.

But then again, I would

 

[srbhkshk]

Doing it in 5 run increments (Harsh's method), gives this chart.



Root sucks in the 45-80 range, before and after that he does fine, Kohli is good almost everywhere although he does start to decline steadily at 70+, he'd probably improve if I extended the range but that's going into single digit data point category. One thing to notice is that Williamson isn't actually all that good at converting either, Root kind of saves him the embarrassment.

 

[marc71178]

As runs past a certain level are universally known as wanker runs I think we can conclude that Kohli is the biggest wanker in world cricket currently

 

[weldone]

[didn't know this thread existed, so I replied in the Maths thread]

First, you have to remove not outs for this kind of analysis (or use not outs in a different way). And after removing not outs, the sample size becomes too low for most batsmen for any meaningful analysis - specially for high scores.

Second, 'how many more they are expected to score' (expectation) is a different question compared to 'how many more runs will he score with 50% probability' (median). For all batsmen, median is much much less compared to average - around 60%. e.g., if Tendulkar averages 55 then you'll find half the times he gets out for less than 35 or so.

 

[Burner]

As runs past a certain level are universally known as wanker runs I think we can conclude that Kohli is the biggest wanker in world cricket currently

But we already knew that...