Could Nathan Lyon break Shane Warne's wicket tally?

[Red]

Warne took 708 wickets.

I realise this is kind of absurd, but bear with me. Lyon keeps getting better and better with age. He's now played for approx six years and has 280 wickets. He is (just) 30 years old.

Warne played until he was about 38 years old. If Lyon plays until he is 38, we can assume he might take another 350-400 wickets in that time, which puts him really close to 700.

It'd be a big incentive to go past Warne I reckon.

Obviously he could get injured along the way, but so far he's shown himself to be durable.

At the very least you'd think he's gonna take 500+ wickets, which is pretty remarkable.

 

[SillyCowCorner1]

Only 30? I thought that he was nearing Misbah's age.

Yeah, he can definitely beat Warne's record. I would want a guy like him to be the highest wicket taker for Australia...after all, he is the GOAT

 

[Tec15]

No. He'll back to be considered mediocre in a few months.

 

[Woodster]

Lyon is a very good spinner, you’ve got to be a lot better than that to go past Warne’s record. He won’t get anywhere near Warne’s record but he’ll continue to be a very good spinner that can both contain and attack. I like him as a cricketer.

 

[wellAlbidarned]

if everyone agrees to only bat left handed it's a possibility

 

[flibbertyjibber]

No chance.

 

[Kirkut]

That would 400 odd more. I'm wondering how many times he's going to dismiss Jinx out of those 400 scalps.

 

[GotSpin]

It would be worth it to see Warnes' reaction

 

[Burgey]

I don't realistically think it's possible. He's half the bowler and twice the human being.

 

[Daemon]

It would be worth it to see Warnes' reaction

Warne likes him so he'll be fine. If sok got 709 wickets he'd claim it was because he asked him to change ends.

 

[Coronis]

He's only 30????? I'd be impressed but its doubtful. I'd love it if he did.

 

[stephen]

I think he can do it. No reason he can't play until 40 and he's just coming into his prime.

 

[Daemon]

"Will Blackwood make 8000 test runs"

 

[SillyCowCorner1]

He currently is like a 40-year old...when he gets to 40, he'll probably be getting walloped by youngsters in BPL 15

 

[TheJediBrah]

Alien-skull won't even get 300 wickets. He'll be dropped by the end of the Ashes when everyone realises that Arjun Nair is Australia's best spinner

 

[Second Spitter]

No. He'll back to be considered mediocre in a few months.

 

[Black_Warrior]

The problem with these queries like the "Will Ponting/Cook go past Tendulkar's tally" is that they are based on the assumption that player in question will continue to take wickets at this rate and sustain this level of performance for the next 8 years.

All evidence has shown that this does not happen.

 

[Adders]

He's half the bowler and twice the human being.

I think the first half of that does Lyon a disservice based on how hes been bowling the last couple of years.

 

[vitalogy83]

Interesting. When I saw the thread title I thought it must be a joke of some sort. But then I realized he's still just 30.

I mean Herath is 40. So it's not beyond the realms of possibility that he could play for another 10 years. Jesus what the hell would he look like at 40??

Wonder how Warne and Lyon's Ashes tallies line up? Warne had huge success v the poms and also took truck tons of wickets at home..

I guess that will be the difference..

 

[Red]

I can't see any reason he can't play ten more years and get better, apart from injury.

And he seems durable. As I said, I know it's absurd. But it's kind of possible.