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Who is more likely to win a test match with this scoreline?
- Thread starter Jono
- Start date
morgieb
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I'd probably say Team B generally. Yes the fact that it went 5 days probably suggests it's a reasonable batting surface at the very least, but if they can knock off 5 decent batsman reasonably quickly, they'll probably knock off the other 5 for less than 100 runs. That said, it should be very tight.
Team B most of the time - your first 5 wickets would normally score more than 60% of the runs..
But
- if it's Gilchrist or de Kock coming in at 7, the odds must change.
- if this is against South Africa circa 1997 they have McMillan, Klusener, Richardson and Symcox still to come...
- if it was 10-4 and now 150-5 it's a bit different than if it was 120-0 and now 150-5.
- have the match scores have been 300 + 400 vs 450 and 150-5, or has it been a rain-affected 200 + 250 vs 200 +150-5
- is it a drop in pitch that gets better as the match goes on vs a normal one which deteriorates...
But
- if it's Gilchrist or de Kock coming in at 7, the odds must change.
- if this is against South Africa circa 1997 they have McMillan, Klusener, Richardson and Symcox still to come...
- if it was 10-4 and now 150-5 it's a bit different than if it was 120-0 and now 150-5.
- have the match scores have been 300 + 400 vs 450 and 150-5, or has it been a rain-affected 200 + 250 vs 200 +150-5
- is it a drop in pitch that gets better as the match goes on vs a normal one which deteriorates...
GIMH
Norwood's on Fire
You bring Flintoff on to bowl and spend the evening session playing golf
Adders
Cricketer Of The Year
Very good....
Jono
Virat Kohli (c)
Yeah I almost feel this is one of the biggest swing factors. There are obviously others, but if the team has just lost 5/30 or 5/40, despite personnel and target exactly the same, its a completely different feel to both batsman having just put up a 100 run partnership.
Jono
Virat Kohli (c)
Yeah righto Judgemental Gandhi Daemon
