morgieb
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I think it leans India, but not overwhelmingly. We won two out of the three sessions, but losing sessions if you're the batting side hurts more than the bowling side.
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***Official*** Australia in India 2012/13
- Thread starter Dan
- Start date
silentstriker
The Wheel is Forever
Maybe, it depends how the pitch is tomorrow. If there is uneven bounce like there was this morning, surely Australia are well equipped to exploit it. More so than they've been in this tour so far. Once the ball gets a little older, maybe they'll struggle.
benchmark00
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I was being facetious. It's overwhelmingly Indias day.
Spark
Global Moderator
So basically we need to score another 150
silentstriker
The Wheel is Forever
Haha, well...in my defense, before the start the commentators were also saying something around 300 to be par.
morgieb
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There's always been a collapse, unfortunately there's always been a mammoth partnership too.
Furball
Evil Scotsman
2 months IPL is better than 7 months India tour, IPL, Champions Trophy and Ashes tour.
the big bambino
International Captain
Um...yeah. Thanks for taking it so badly on our behalf.
No matter how bad England get, nothing will match that for pure hysterical humiliation.
If I was an Aussie I'd be absolutely livid about that. It's bad enough him playing, let alone captaining the side after being such an unbelievable soft-****. It basically pisses on your legacy. You're going to have barren patches but at least you never doubted that an Aussie team would give it their all, to go back to someone who has behaved the way he has. That's not like Australia at all.
Appreciated.
the big bambino
International Captain
Tim Blair headlines "Australia wins toss and chooses to collapse".
silentstriker
The Wheel is Forever
I wonder if there are stats on how many coin tosses each captain has lost. Dhoni has to be up there for any captain who has captained for a significant amount of time.
benchmark00
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You can see the toss results as captain on stats guru.
ganeshran
International Debutant
Has to even out during the course of his career, With unbiased coins it is not possible that one probability is overwhelmingly favoured
Checked: Dhoni won 101 tosses, lost 122 (combining Test/ODI/T20)
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silentstriker
The Wheel is Forever
I was going for Test matches only - the amount of Tests a person generally captains means the number is not really high enough to really make it even out. I suppose it depends on your definition of overwhelming. But if you start off a certain way - it's still 50-50 from that point on (each is an independent event), so your chances of ending a career with a bias towards that side is higher compared to another person who started off 50-50.
In any case, Dhoni's win % in Test matches he captained is only 37.5% (18/48), counting this match....
dontcloseyoureyes
BARNES OUT
Dodgy Indian joint across from the cinema? That place is the best.
ganeshran
International Debutant
Not really. For a sufficiently large sample it will always go towards 50%.
So if Dhoni captains in 100 tests, he would have won close to 45+ tosses. His overall career average is 45%. the smaller the subsets we extract out of this overall record ( e.g. just taking tests), the higher the possibility of skewed success ratios
Prince EWS
Global Moderator
Yes really! Do not Monte Carlo fallcy CW again! It should seriously be a bannable offence.
At any moment in time, the chance of winning the toss is 50%. If you've only won 10% of tosses it doesn't make you more likely to win the next toss than someone who has won 90% of tosses.
silentstriker
The Wheel is Forever
No, it does not. As Prince EWS mentioned.
Each coin toss is an independent event - there is no bias towards going one way or another. If you start counting with an initial situation of (for example): 30 heads and 0 tails, you will always have a bias of +30 heads because the rest of the coin tosses are 'expected' to be 50-50.