I know I said I'd sit on it but since the thread is here I'll predict who the selectors will take and pin my own colours to the mast and see if those I pick prove me right if they play. It's even going to have pretentious
bolding of player names. We'll know who gets picked
this week anyway. 15 man squad yeah? That means we're looking at a playing eleven of:
Guptill
McCullum
Williamson
Taylor
Flynn
...
Wicketkeeper
Vettori
Bracewell
Southee
Boult
That's roughly a lock. We may just go with the keeper at six and Vettori seven, making room for another bowler.
But assuming we pick a batsman for number six, we'll have two reserve spots for bowlers and two reserve spots for batsmen. If someone gets their arm broken by Steyn we will need that batting depth.
Port Elizabeth by all reports is low and slow so
Jeets will tour, and with his record against South Africa
Marto won't be left at home. If we take one less batsman then the selectors will want some left arm pace on the bench and the number two left armer in their eyes is
Neil Wagner.
I'm going to back them picking
Brownlie for number six, assuming Jesse is still happy smokin' domestix and isn't ready for tests. For their two reserve batsmen I bet they'll want at least one who can bowl. IMO we can safely say Franklin is gone for good as a batting allrounder. Wells isn't bowling atm, Anderson isn't taking many wickets, Ellis appears to be a ODI specialist, CdG couldn't handle the pace earlier in the year and Neesham is a bit raw, so I think we're looking at Cachopa or Munro. Despite Cachopa's ridiculous run of hundreds, one look at Dean Elgar today tells you everything you need to know about how ready Cachopa is for Steyn, Philander and Morkel.
Munro might lack technique on the front foot through the offside and be fortunate to play all his home games on a road, but his legside play is superb and he has a hook shot to die for. I think it will be him.
The other reserve batsman is hard to pick because Broom has scored bugger all in the last couple of years most of the very few guys scoring runs have already been tried and failed, so I'll put $10 on the selectors trying to be cute (again) and picking
Nicol (again). Maybe they will pick Fulton at a stretch, but I doubt it. So the squad I predict is:
Guptill
McCullum
Williamson (5/6)
Taylor (c)
Flynn
Brownlie (5/6)
Watling (wk)
Vettori (4)
Bracewell (3)
Southee (1)
Boult (2)
Munro
Nicol
Martin
Patel
If we take one less batsman add Wagner
As for my own picks, with my selectors hat on the next few days are crucial. If they're so damn determined to name the squad this week then Gillespie and Marto are in a straight shoot out in the current FC round and if either can blitz two reasonable batting line ups, they go. Failing that, if Bond gives the go ahead, pick Milne. If I had to pick just one, then I'm going to back
Gillespie. This will be the week he gets angry and sends it down at 145kph trying to kill Fulton, Brownlie, Ellis and Latham. You heard it here first.
Jeets is my second spinner, and that is a pretty easy call. Astle needs more work. For my left armer I want
Ben Wheeler.
Brownlie will be in the reserves for me since I'd put Vettori the batting allrounder at seven and go in with four strike bowlers and one stock bowler. I don't know who I want as my other reserve batsman since I don't think Cachopa, Latham or Rutherford are ready so I'll revert to my default PICK
SINCLAIR!!!111 mode.
Guptill
McCullum
Williamson (6)
Taylor (c)
Flynn
Watling (wk)
Vettori (5)
Bracewell (3)
Southee (1)
Gillespie (4)
Boult (2)
Jeets
Wheeler
Brownlie
Sinclair
Can they win? If we outbowl the best attack in the world bowling to a vastly superior batting line up to our own then yes. Will it happen? Nope. Our attack is gun but no matter who we pick we're only going to get to 250 if someone tons up and anything beyond will require two or more tons and that isn't happening. Scoring 400 on a road against a lone ranger doesn't fill me with confidence they can do it against SA in SA, it just makes me wonder where the **** that effort has been at Napier all these years (barring that test against India of course). In fact if we pass 400 in any innings with the bat I'll make James Marshall my avatar for the number of days the highest scorer makes (so Taylor 114 means I have the avatar for 114 days). We simply don't have the batting to win or draw against this attack.
I'm going to really go out on a limb and predict a South African clean sweep in the test series.