And at the end of the day, it is not even about that. I just think Badri is a better long format batting option than Raina right now.
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The speed at which a fielding team gets through the innings is overrated.
I predict a 1-1 draw.Sri Lanka are too good to lose at home and India are too good to get hammered for a second time.
Don't rate Badri very highly to be honest.
That is always a possibility. But On a grassy track, I would expect Tendulkar, Dravid and Laxman to survive and score big. Gambhir may cash in. But Shwag, Dhoniand Yuvraj are very vulnerable. On a slow spinning track, of course, all seven will cash in, unless they have brain farts.
On other hand Sangakkara, Mahela and Mathews (although the latter not proven) are good on seamin pitches, and Dilshan plays seam better than Sehwag. Samaraweera if digs in will score some runs. Dilsha's aprtner is still undecided, and if it turns out to be Kaushal Silva, then he's also a superb player of pace and seam. When you keep some room for greatness and brilliance of SRT, Dravid and Sanga, SL has players who like to play on seaming tracks as equal to India. The difference is a balance between slightly superior SL fast attack vs Indian bastmen, who boasts two / three (with Laxman) players who do well against pace compared to one by SL (excluding Mathews). On other hand SL batsmen like Samaraweera, Dilshan and Mathews are better players of short fast bowling that likes of Raina or Yuvraj.
Fernado will get a game IMO, now touching 150k when in full flow. Malinga was getting up to 148k in the Asia cup and Thushara was getting up to 144k. So there will be some "perfume balls"especially against Sehwag and Dhoni. To complete the plan, Murali should bowl well to likes of Tendulkar, Dravid and Laxman and keep the pressure on. But there lies the problem. Recent Murali is a shadow of what he used to be. If SRT and Dravid plays pacers well and attacks Murali, then SL will be a dead duck.
Indian pace bowlers rarely try to bounce batsmen out. They depend on good length balls with movement to get wickets. The spinners from the Indian side are the key bowlers to watch out for in this series afaic. If the spinners struggle, our attack is going to look flat. Hope Mishra finds some form.
Will be tough to win the series in South Africa if we can't put up 3 good pacers. Worriesome.
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