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Old 21-05-2003, 06:26 AM   #1 (permalink)
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ICC launch new World Test Championship

At least this time they've got the top team right!

Looks very suspiciously like the Pickup formula to me...
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Old 21-05-2003, 06:56 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Perhaps Neil can charge royalties...
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Old 21-05-2003, 07:08 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Either way this is good news. Australia are back on top because all matches count in a period (in this case since 01/08/1999), every team has something to gain or lose in each series, every individual match counts, including dead rubbers and one off fixtures, as well as strength of opposition being taken into account.

These factors needed to be introduced, and now that they have, we get a more accurate picture of where the teams stand. Thumbs up from me.
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Old 21-05-2003, 12:18 PM   #4 (permalink)
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:!( :!( Aww just because SA were winning :!(

No seriously, this new one looks more accurate
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Old 24-05-2003, 02:17 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Having had time to consider the pros and cons of the new system...

It definitely looks more like my system than the old one, but IMO it (and its ODI cousin) are very, very close in formulae and rationale to the FIFA/Coca-Cola Football World Rankings.

Which we all know are insanely unpredictable.

There's been a change in the Test Championship formulation to take into account all Tests rather than the previous meetings between two nations....

What the hell's the point of the Ten-Year plan then?

With a regular pattern like that, and matches losing X% of their value every year, teams will fluctuate up and down the rankings depending on how recently they played Bangladesh and Zimbabwe. Good system, that.

When formulating my system 4/5 months ago, we found five key points (off BBC.co.uk) that a ranking system ought to incorporate:

* There is no weighting for strength of opposition.
My system is heavily based upon opponents' strength
The Kendix/ICC system does this loosely, but most of the top teams fall in the same scoring bracket... Not impressive
* Form plays no part, with the last series between each pair of teams counting for points.
Covered this point above...
* So far, each of the 10 Test teams has yet to play all of the others, so comparisons are difficult.
Will even itself out in time, but is an interrelated flaw of any rolling league
* The results of series, not individual Tests, count for points, so a whitewash is the same as a narrow win.
Sorted in both the Kendix & Pickup systems, one difference being the series bonus the Kendix system awards. To me a 3-1 point split for a three-test series ending 2-1 isn't fair.
* Wins in home conditions count the same as those away from home.
Kendix 0-1 Pickup
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Old 24-05-2003, 03:29 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I know it's probably a waste of time, but our (i.e. Neil's) system deserves to be recognised for what it is - the best weighting system I've ever seen for determining the world rankings.

Methinks the ICC (and the Press Association) should have this pointed out to them frequently and loudly.

Have you considered spreading the word?
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Old 24-05-2003, 03:52 PM   #7 (permalink)
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We tried several different points of contact and got identical responses from each of them.

None whatsoever.

Havn't tried the Press Association yet... I don't have any contact details or any ideas where to get hold thereof. If you have the details (and if my memory serves me correctly, you do, from the Kirtley "century" thread), then please contact them
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Old 24-05-2003, 05:09 PM   #8 (permalink)
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I did try the ICC when you introduced the concept to me, but no-one replied.

Maybe we need it to come from a bone-fide Journalist?

(If that's the case, I think I have the answer)
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Old 25-05-2003, 09:26 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally posted by marc71178
Maybe we need it to come from a bona-fide Journalist?

(If that's the case, I think I have the answer)
Enlighten me...
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Old 25-05-2003, 10:24 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Over the Kirtley fiasco, I contacted them via Ananova.

I have had feedback from the press association directly before - their email contact is

information@pa.press.net
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Old 25-05-2003, 12:21 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally posted by Neil Pickup
Enlighten me...
Sorry, but my I won't ask my brother now since you corrected my spelling.
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Old 25-05-2003, 02:21 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Comparison of my system and the Kendix/ICC system, basing all teams' scores on Australia as 100:

Team - ICC - NP
Australia - 100 - 100
S Africa - 89.1 - 69.2
N Zealand - 79.8 - 69.2
S Lanka - 78.3 - 46.1
England - 75.2 - 59.6
India - 70.5 - 50.9
Pakistan - 70.5 - 48.3
West Indies - 61.2 - 35.4
Zimbabwe - 45.7 - 18.1
Bangladesh - 3.1 - 1.7
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Old 25-05-2003, 02:24 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally posted by marc71178
Sorry, but my I won't ask my brother now since you corrected my spelling.
:P

What do you reckon we ought to ask/say to the Press Association, then?
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