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#1 (permalink) |
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Eyes not spreadsheets
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: England
Posts: 56,334
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ICC launch new World Test Championship
At least this time they've got the top team right!
Looks very suspiciously like the Pickup formula to me...
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#3 (permalink) |
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International 12th Man
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Hants, England
Posts: 1,710
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Either way this is good news. Australia are back on top because all matches count in a period (in this case since 01/08/1999), every team has something to gain or lose in each series, every individual match counts, including dead rubbers and one off fixtures, as well as strength of opposition being taken into account.
These factors needed to be introduced, and now that they have, we get a more accurate picture of where the teams stand. Thumbs up from me.
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#5 (permalink) |
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Cricket Web Staff Member / Global Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Oxford, England
Posts: 26,361
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Having had time to consider the pros and cons of the new system...
It definitely looks more like my system than the old one, but IMO it (and its ODI cousin) are very, very close in formulae and rationale to the FIFA/Coca-Cola Football World Rankings. Which we all know are insanely unpredictable. There's been a change in the Test Championship formulation to take into account all Tests rather than the previous meetings between two nations.... What the hell's the point of the Ten-Year plan then? With a regular pattern like that, and matches losing X% of their value every year, teams will fluctuate up and down the rankings depending on how recently they played Bangladesh and Zimbabwe. Good system, that. When formulating my system 4/5 months ago, we found five key points (off BBC.co.uk) that a ranking system ought to incorporate: * There is no weighting for strength of opposition. My system is heavily based upon opponents' strength The Kendix/ICC system does this loosely, but most of the top teams fall in the same scoring bracket... Not impressive * Form plays no part, with the last series between each pair of teams counting for points. Covered this point above... * So far, each of the 10 Test teams has yet to play all of the others, so comparisons are difficult. Will even itself out in time, but is an interrelated flaw of any rolling league * The results of series, not individual Tests, count for points, so a whitewash is the same as a narrow win. Sorted in both the Kendix & Pickup systems, one difference being the series bonus the Kendix system awards. To me a 3-1 point split for a three-test series ending 2-1 isn't fair. * Wins in home conditions count the same as those away from home. Kendix 0-1 Pickup
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#6 (permalink) |
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Hall of Fame Member
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Derby, England
Posts: 17,617
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I know it's probably a waste of time, but our (i.e. Neil's) system deserves to be recognised for what it is - the best weighting system I've ever seen for determining the world rankings.
Methinks the ICC (and the Press Association) should have this pointed out to them frequently and loudly. Have you considered spreading the word? |
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#7 (permalink) |
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Cricket Web Staff Member / Global Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Oxford, England
Posts: 26,361
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We tried several different points of contact and got identical responses from each of them.
None whatsoever. Havn't tried the Press Association yet... I don't have any contact details or any ideas where to get hold thereof. If you have the details (and if my memory serves me correctly, you do, from the Kirtley "century" thread), then please contact them
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#10 (permalink) |
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Hall of Fame Member
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Derby, England
Posts: 17,617
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Over the Kirtley fiasco, I contacted them via Ananova.
I have had feedback from the press association directly before - their email contact is information@pa.press.net |
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#12 (permalink) |
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Cricket Web Staff Member / Global Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Oxford, England
Posts: 26,361
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Comparison of my system and the Kendix/ICC system, basing all teams' scores on Australia as 100:
Team - ICC - NP Australia - 100 - 100 S Africa - 89.1 - 69.2 N Zealand - 79.8 - 69.2 S Lanka - 78.3 - 46.1 England - 75.2 - 59.6 India - 70.5 - 50.9 Pakistan - 70.5 - 48.3 West Indies - 61.2 - 35.4 Zimbabwe - 45.7 - 18.1 Bangladesh - 3.1 - 1.7 |
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#13 (permalink) | |
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Cricket Web Staff Member / Global Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Oxford, England
Posts: 26,361
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Quote:
What do you reckon we ought to ask/say to the Press Association, then? |
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