I personally reckon Fred will be more-or-less over by 2009, sad to say. His ankle problems seem chronic, cortisone injections are never a good idea for injuries long term & he'll be 31 by then anyway.
England I'll guess at:
Rashid is the only real long-shot, Davies & Broad will play tests for England. Actually, if Rashid's leg-spin develops as we pray it will it could even curtail Monty's chances if the cheery Rhodesian is still in charge. It's obvious to any casual observer that Big Dunc likes his multi-dimensionals so a seamer like Tom Smith who has more potential with the willow could find himself in the team ahead of him.
I can't see Vaughan's knee lasting two-and-a-half years, Collingwood still doesn't have the look of a long-term option & Harmy will have retired to the north-east to watch Newcastle's inevitable slide out of the football league.