Originally Posted by Burgey
Nielsen 53:47. LNP up 1, ALP down 1. Haven't got details on primaries or PPM.
Basically steady on all the metrics, I don't consider +/-1 to be statistically significant at all.
More interesting to me is why there's a consistent divergence in the approval ratings between Nielsen and Newspoll - Nielsen always gives Gillard 10 points or so more approval ratings than Newspoll. It's not like this is the US and you have to apply a LV screen or weight the results by demographics. Only possible explanation I've heard is that the way Nielsen words the question captures the "don't know that Gillard leads the ALP" ie. the "dead****" demographic (hence why it's numbers tend to add up closer to 100%)