Originally Posted by Top_Cat
Oye, this again. The 50/50 vs 100/0 is a false dichotomy, FFS.
Also, it wasn't merely that Watson didn't go on with it, was how he got out too. You've opened and your team is 3 for <100 after a woeful, woeful start, if you nick out going for a big drive, you haven't done your job. It meant some **** had to come in at 4/100 (still far from safety) and do the spade work with the added pressure of knowing they were the last of the specialist bats but it also lets the oppo know that you're rattled. That gives them more confidence against the rest of the order which is a really crap advantage to hand them on top of your wicket.
It's not a false dichotomy because it doesn't even attempt to describe all of the possible outcomes - it's pretty clear it's just meant to be an example of two contrasting scoring patterns which sum up to the same total of runs (or 'average' across the match), and can be used to illustrate if each pattern has a different effect on a match as a whole.