I think we lose with any feasible outcome, only because, without the hyperbole this time, I don't think any of the bats on the fringes can stand up and fill KP's boots. But what you say is pretty realistic as well. So, yeah, it looks grim.
Grimmest it's looked since the beginning of 09 anyway and things worked out okay that time I suppose.
Watch out, for as soon as it pleases them they’ll send you out to protect their gold in wars whose weapons, rapidly developed by servile scientists, will become more and more deadly until they can with a flick of the finger tear a million of you to pieces
RIP Craigos. A true CW legend. You will be missed.