Originally Posted by _Ed_
Wales, for mine - simply because you know what you're going to get.
Yup I guess thats a good way of looking at it. Plus you tend to get comparably poor French performances following a completely unexpected result like in 99 and 07. Wales look in good form though and throughout the tournament have tended to play well in crucial situations - they could easily have choked against Ireland when Earls scored his try and Ireland levelled at 10-10 but they dominated from that point; and they held their nerve against Samoa in the group stage who have been a side which they generally struggle against.