Originally Posted by GeraintIsMyHero
Broad is nailed-on for me, Trott not so much
Reckon Trott's had a decent-ish start to his Test career, and can only see him having pretty good figures in the Pakistan Tests TBH, given how many catches they're likely to drop.
Broad is certainly very likely, but if he should return really poor figures against Pakistan it's just an outside bet he'll be dropped mid-series. Even though he's been miles better since the start of 2009 than he was before, his Test bowling average in that time is still just 30.37, and that flatters him a little. In truth, he's bowled that one sensational spell in the first-innings of the Fifth Test of the previous Ashes, a handful of decent-ish ones besides, and been ineffective, still, plenty. The fact that he remains something of a golden-child counts in his favour in selection if not effectiveness.
Onions is of course less so, but he unquestionably should start against the Pakistanis if he comes close to repeating his last 2009's figures early in 2010, and it's then up to him to take it from there. If he plays against the Pakistanis and is ineffective, someone else has to be given a shot.