This is my NZ test team
A few contentious issues. I despise Lou Vincent but he must be selected considering he scored a century last time out. Obviously I think Jones or Marshall are the most likely replacements but I like McIntosh- I'm distinctly unimpressed by Jones although who knows, he could be useful in a Richardsonesque way, while I can't see why you would select Marshall, 42 first class games and 0 (!!) centuries at an average of below 25. McIntosh has 7 centuries at 41 from 37 first class games.
Styris, McMillan, Vettori and Tuffey pick themselves. Cairns hasn't played a test for 2 years but I'm assuming he'll be picked. Oram also will most likely be picked although I am not a big fan. I would definitely pick Butler, I don't see who else they would pick instead. Obviously there is some suggestion that McCullum will be picked, and I would actually quite like that, but on form he hardly deserves it.
Another point is, isn't McIntosh an opener, not a no.3? Vincent could always move to no.3, but again I can't see the selectors breaking up the Vincent/Richardson partnership considering they put on 200 last time.
Long term I would prefer McIntosh opening with Richardson and Sinclair at 3 (he and Vincent are both flat track bullies but Sinclair is better at it, and hey, there are a lot of flat tracks around these days) but it's unlikely to happen in this test.